First NL · Regular Season - 8
DugopoljevsCroatia Zmijavci
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 11 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Away or drawBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- First NL
- Venue
- Stadion Hrvatski Vitezovi
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Dugopolje vs Croatia Zmijavci: match review and analysis
Dugopolje vs Croatia Zmijavci in First NL on 11 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Away or draw.
Dugopolje recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 11 and conceding 16. Croatia Zmijavci recorded 7 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses, with 17 scored and 7 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Dugopolje | Croatia Zmijavci |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 3 | 7 |
| Draws | 3 | 1 |
| Losses | 4 | 2 |
| Goals scored | 11 | 17 |
| Goals conceded | 16 | 7 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 7 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Dugopolje: (1.18 weighted goals scored + 0.80 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.99 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Croatia Zmijavci: (1.47 weighted goals scored + 1.53 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.50 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the away side avoiding defeat. An away win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Dugopolje recent form
1.10 goals scored and 1.60 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HNK CibaliaFirst NL | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Dinamo Zagreb U21First NL | Home | 3–2 | Won | |
| Segesta SisakFirst NL | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Mladost ŽdraloviFirst NL | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Karlovac 1919First NL | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| SesveteFirst NL | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| KustosijaFirst NL | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Orijent 1919First NL | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| RudesFirst NL | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| SesveteFirst NL | Away | 2–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Dugopolje’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Croatia Zmijavci recent form
1.70 goals scored and 0.70 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SesveteFirst NL | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| KustosijaFirst NL | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| VukovarFirst NL | Home | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Orijent 1919First NL | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Bsk Bijelo BrdoFirst NL | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Dubrava ZagrebFirst NL | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| HrvaceFirst NL | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| Siroki BrijegFriendlies Clubs | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Bsk Bijelo BrdoFirst NL | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| HrvaceFirst NL | Home | 3–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Croatia Zmijavci’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
First NL — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Croatia Zmijavci are ranked 3 in 2 HNL, with 13 points from 7 games.
Dugopolje are ranked 10 in 2 HNL, with 9 points from 7 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jadran LP | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 15 |
| 2 | Mladost Ždralovi | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 14 |
| 3 | Croatia Zmijavci | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 13 |
| 4 | HNK Cibalia | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 13 |
| 5 | Bsk Bijelo Brdo | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 13 |
| 6 | Segesta Sisak | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 11 |
| 7 | Karlovac 1919 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 11 |
| 8 | Sesvete | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 10 |
| 9 | Dinamo Zagreb U21 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 9 |
| 10 | Dugopolje | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 9 |
| 11 | Dubrava Zagreb | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 8 |
| 12 | Opatija | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 8 |
| 13 | Orijent 1919 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 8 |
| 14 | Vukovar | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 8 |
| 15 | Kustosija | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 7 |
| 16 | Hrvace | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 7 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.