Iraqi League · Regular Season - 9
Duhok1–0Al Zawra'a
Real Scored · Live match
Match prediction · 8 October 2026
First Half
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Away or drawBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Iraqi League
- Venue
- Duhok Stadium
- Status
- First Half
- Score
- 1–0
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Duhok vs Al Zawra'a: match review and analysis
Duhok vs Al Zawra'a in Iraqi League on 8 October 2026 is in progress. The latest saved score is 1–0. Scores and match status refresh automatically.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Away or draw.
Duhok recorded 2 wins, 6 draws and 2 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 13 and conceding 12. Al Zawra'a recorded 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses, with 15 scored and 5 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Duhok | Al Zawra'a |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 2 | 5 |
| Draws | 6 | 3 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
| Goals scored | 13 | 15 |
| Goals conceded | 12 | 5 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 5 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Duhok: (1.40 weighted goals scored + 0.51 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.96 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Al Zawra'a: (1.55 weighted goals scored + 1.26 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.41 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the away side avoiding defeat. An away win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Duhok recent form
1.30 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Minaa BasraIraqi League | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Al KarkhIraqi League | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Ghaz Al ShamalIraqi League | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Al Quwa Al JawiyaIraqi League | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| NewrozIraqi League | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| NaftIraqi League | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Al TalabaIraqi League | Home | 3–3 | Draw | |
| GharrafIraqi League | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| TikvešFriendlies Clubs | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| DiyalaIraqi League | Away | 0–1 | Lost |
Scores shown from Duhok’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Al Zawra'a recent form
1.50 goals scored and 0.50 conceded per game. 5 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GharrafIraqi League | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Al Quwa Al JawiyaIraqi League | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Al KahrabaaIraqi League | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| MosulIraqi League | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| ZakhoIraqi League | Home | 4–0 | Won | |
| Naft MaysanIraqi League | Home | 4–0 | Won | |
| KarbalaIraqi League | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Al Minaa BasraIraqi League | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Al NajafIraqi League | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| NaftIraqi League | Home | 0–1 | Lost |
Scores shown from Al Zawra'a’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Iraqi League — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Al Zawra'a are ranked 2 in Iraqi League, with 18 points from 8 games.
Duhok are ranked 9 in Iraqi League, with 9 points from 8 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al-Karma | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 5 | 9 | 20 |
| 2 | Al Zawra'a | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 15 | 3 | 12 | 18 |
| 3 | Erbil | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 3 | 9 | 17 |
| 4 | Newroz | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 15 |
| 5 | Al Shorta | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 15 |
| 6 | Naft | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 15 |
| 7 | Al Quwa Al Jawiya | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 11 |
| 8 | Al-Jolan SC | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 10 |
| 9 | Duhok | 8 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 9 |
| 10 | Diyala | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 9 |
| 11 | Al Minaa Basra | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 9 |
| 12 | Zakho | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 9 |
| 13 | Ghaz Al Shamal | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 8 |
| 14 | Mosul | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 15 | -6 | 8 |
| 15 | Al Karkh | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 7 |
| 16 | Al Kahrabaa | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 7 |
| 17 | Al Talaba | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 7 |
| 18 | Naft Maysan | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 7 |
| 19 | Gharraf | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 12 | -8 | 5 |
| 20 | Karbala | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 5 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.