League Two · Regular Season - 9
Dumbarton2–1Forfar Athletic
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 3 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- League Two
- Venue
- Dumbarton Football Stadium
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 2–1
- 90-minute score
- 2–1
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Dumbarton vs Forfar Athletic: match review and analysis
Dumbarton vs Forfar Athletic in League Two on 3 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 2–1. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Dumbarton recorded 4 wins, 1 draws and 5 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 16 and conceding 24. Forfar Athletic recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses, with 11 scored and 16 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Dumbarton | Forfar Athletic |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 4 | 4 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 5 | 4 |
| Goals scored | 16 | 11 |
| Goals conceded | 24 | 16 |
| Over 1.5 games | 10 | 9 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Dumbarton: (2.00 weighted goals scored + 1.66 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.83 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Forfar Athletic: (1.09 weighted goals scored + 2.12 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.61 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Dumbarton recent form
1.60 goals scored and 2.40 conceded per game. 10 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Banks O' DeeChallenge Cup | Home | 3–2 | Won | |
| Kilmarnock IIChallenge Cup | Home | 3–2 | Won | |
| SpartansLeague Two | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| StranraerLeague Two | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Cove RangersChallenge Cup | Away | 1–6 | Lost | |
| Elgin CityLeague Two | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Annan AthleticLeague Two | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Celtic IIChallenge Cup | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Kelty HeartsLeague Two | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Edinburgh CityLeague Two | Home | 0–3 | Lost |
Scores shown from Dumbarton’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Forfar Athletic recent form
1.10 goals scored and 1.60 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Formartine UnitedChallenge Cup | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Dundee United IIChallenge Cup | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| PeterheadChallenge Cup | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Annan AthleticLeague Two | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| SpartansLeague Two | Away | 1–5 | Lost | |
| Banks O' DeeChallenge Cup | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| StranraerLeague Two | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Edinburgh CityLeague Two | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| ClydeLeague Two | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Stirling AlbionLeague Two | Home | 3–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Forfar Athletic’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
League Two — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Dumbarton are ranked 6 in Division3, with 12 points from 9 games.
Forfar Athletic are ranked 7 in Division3, with 11 points from 9 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stranraer | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 17 |
| 2 | Clyde | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 17 |
| 3 | Elgin City | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 14 |
| 4 | Spartans | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 12 |
| 5 | Kelty Hearts | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 12 |
| 6 | Dumbarton | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 12 |
| 7 | Forfar Athletic | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 15 | -6 | 11 |
| 8 | Edinburgh City | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 10 |
| 9 | Annan Athletic | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 9 |
| 10 | Stirling Albion | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 8 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.