Women's Championship · Regular Season - 5
Durham W0–3Newcastle United W
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 4 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Women's Championship
- Venue
- Maiden Castle
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 0–3
- 90-minute score
- 0–3
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Durham W vs Newcastle United W: match review and analysis
Durham W vs Newcastle United W in Women's Championship on 4 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 0–3. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Durham W recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 12 and conceding 23. Newcastle United W recorded 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses, with 15 scored and 9 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Durham W | Newcastle United W |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 2 | 4 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 6 | 3 |
| Goals scored | 12 | 15 |
| Goals conceded | 23 | 9 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 7 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Durham W: (1.20 weighted goals scored + 1.10 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.15 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Newcastle United W: (1.61 weighted goals scored + 2.66 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 2.14 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Durham W recent form
1.20 goals scored and 2.30 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester United WWSL Cup | Home | 1–5 | Lost | |
| Sheffield United WWomen's Championship | Away | 1–4 | Lost | |
| Nottingham Forest WWomen's Championship | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Leicester City FC WWomen's Championship | Away | 2–4 | Lost | |
| Southampton WWomen's Championship | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Newcastle United WWomen's Championship | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Sheffield United WWomen's Championship | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Bristol City WWomen's Championship | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Nottingham Forest WWomen's Championship | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Southampton WWomen's Championship | Home | 0–0 | Draw |
Scores shown from Durham W’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Newcastle United W recent form
1.50 goals scored and 0.90 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa WWSL Cup | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Leicester City FC WWomen's Championship | Home | 4–0 | Won | |
| Sheffield United WWomen's Championship | Home | 4–1 | Won | |
| Bristol City WWomen's Championship | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Wolverhampton WWomen's Championship | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Durham WWomen's Championship | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Bristol City WWomen's Championship | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Nottingham Forest WWomen's Championship | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Sunderland WWomen's Championship | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Crystal Palace WWomen's Championship | Home | 0–0 | Draw |
Scores shown from Newcastle United W’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Women's Championship — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Newcastle United W are ranked 1 in Championship League Women, with 15 points from 5 games.
Durham W are ranked 12 in Championship League Women, with 0 points from 5 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Newcastle United W | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 1 | 13 | 15 |
| 2 | Sunderland W | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 13 |
| 3 | Ipswich Town W | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 11 |
| 4 | Nottingham Forest W | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 9 |
| 5 | Wolverhampton W | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 7 |
| 6 | Bristol City W | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 7 |
| 7 | Southampton W | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 6 |
| 8 | Leicester City FC W | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 6 |
| 9 | Sheffield United W | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 3 |
| 10 | Watford W | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 3 |
| 11 | Burnley W | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7 | -6 | 2 |
| 12 | Durham W | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 16 | -11 | 0 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.