3. Lig - Group 1 · 3. Lig Group 1 - 6
DüzcesporvsPazarspor
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 11 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Away or drawBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- 3. Lig - Group 1
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Düzcespor vs Pazarspor: match review and analysis
Düzcespor vs Pazarspor in 3. Lig - Group 1 on 11 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Away or draw.
Düzcespor recorded 3 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 9 and conceding 10. Pazarspor recorded 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 17 scored and 8 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Düzcespor | Pazarspor |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 3 | 6 |
| Draws | 5 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
| Goals scored | 9 | 17 |
| Goals conceded | 10 | 8 |
| Over 1.5 games | 6 | 5 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Düzcespor: (0.93 weighted goals scored + 0.69 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.81 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Pazarspor: (1.72 weighted goals scored + 0.84 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.28 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the away side avoiding defeat. An away win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Düzcespor recent form
0.90 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zonguldak KömürsporTürkiye Kupası | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Zonguldak Kömürspor3. Lig - Group 1 | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| İnkılapspor3. Lig - Group 1 | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Galata3. Lig - Group 1 | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Beykoz Anadolu3. Lig - Group 1 | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Orduspor 19673. Lig - Group 1 | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Tokat Bld Plevnespor3. Lig - Group 3 | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Yeni Orduspor3. Lig - Group 3 | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Giresunspor3. Lig - Group 3 | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Pazarspor3. Lig - Group 3 | Home | 1–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Düzcespor’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Pazarspor recent form
1.70 goals scored and 0.80 conceded per game. 5 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ErbaasporTürkiye Kupası | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| Küçükçekmece Sinopspor3. Lig - Group 1 | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| Karabük İdman Yurdu3. Lig - Group 1 | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Zonguldak Kömürspor3. Lig - Group 1 | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| İnkılapspor3. Lig - Group 1 | Home | 4–1 | Won | |
| Galata3. Lig - Group 1 | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Amasyaspor 19683. Lig - Group 3 | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Karabük İdman Yurdu3. Lig - Group 3 | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Zonguldak Kömürspor3. Lig - Group 3 | Home | 3–3 | Draw | |
| Düzcespor3. Lig - Group 3 | Away | 0–1 | Lost |
Scores shown from Pazarspor’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
3. Lig - Group 1 — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Pazarspor are ranked 3 in 3. Lig Group 1, with 10 points from 5 games.
Düzcespor are ranked 10 in 3. Lig Group 1, with 7 points from 5 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fatsa Belediyespor | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 11 |
| 2 | Kartal Bulvarspor | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 10 |
| 3 | Pazarspor | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 10 |
| 4 | Galata | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 9 |
| 5 | Karadeniz Ereğli BSK | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9 |
| 6 | Tokat Bld Plevnespor | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 8 |
| 7 | Orduspor 1967 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 8 |
| 8 | Amasyaspor 1968 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 8 |
| 9 | Küçükçekmece Sinopspor | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 8 |
| 10 | Düzcespor | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 7 |
| 11 | Karabük İdman Yurdu | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 7 |
| 12 | Beykoz Anadolu | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 5 |
| 13 | Gölcükspor | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 4 |
| 14 | Silivrispor | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 4 |
| 15 | İnkılapspor | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 4 |
| 16 | Yalova Yeşilovaspor | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 14 | -7 | 4 |
| 17 | Zonguldak Kömürspor | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 2 |
| 18 | Beykoz İshaklıspor | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 9 | -7 | 1 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.