Second League - Group 1 · Group 1 - 27
Dynamo Makhachkala IIvsSevastopol
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 11 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Away or drawBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Second League - Group 1
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Dynamo Makhachkala II vs Sevastopol: match review and analysis
Dynamo Makhachkala II vs Sevastopol in Second League - Group 1 on 11 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Away or draw.
Dynamo Makhachkala II recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 11 and conceding 16. Sevastopol recorded 9 wins, 0 draws and 1 losses, with 21 scored and 9 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Dynamo Makhachkala II | Sevastopol |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 2 | 9 |
| Draws | 2 | 0 |
| Losses | 6 | 1 |
| Goals scored | 11 | 21 |
| Goals conceded | 16 | 9 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 7 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Dynamo Makhachkala II: (1.03 weighted goals scored + 0.70 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.86 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Sevastopol: (1.97 weighted goals scored + 1.52 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.74 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the away side avoiding defeat. An away win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Dynamo Makhachkala II recent form
1.10 goals scored and 1.60 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nart CherkesskSecond League - Group 1 | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| DruzhbaSecond League - Group 1 | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| PobedaSecond League - Group 1 | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| IzberbashSecond League - Group 1 | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| AstrakhanSecond League - Group 1 | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Shahter TaganrogSecond League - Group 1 | Away | 2–4 | Lost | |
| FK Chayka 2Second League - Group 1 | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| KyzyltashSecond League - Group 1 | Away | 4–1 | Won | |
| Rubin YaltaSecond League - Group 1 | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| LuganskSecond League - Group 1 | Away | 0–1 | Lost |
Scores shown from Dynamo Makhachkala II’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Sevastopol recent form
2.10 goals scored and 0.90 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LuganskSecond League - Group 1 | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Rostov IISecond League - Group 1 | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Rubin YaltaSecond League - Group 1 | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| KyzyltashSecond League - Group 1 | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Spartak NalchikSecond League - Group 1 | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Angust NazranSecond League - Group 1 | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| AstrakhanSecond League - Group 1 | Home | 3–4 | Lost | |
| PobedaSecond League - Group 1 | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| Nart CherkesskSecond League - Group 1 | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| DruzhbaSecond League - Group 1 | Away | 3–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Sevastopol’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Second League - Group 1 — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Sevastopol are ranked 1 in South, with 50 points from 21 games.
Dynamo Makhachkala II are ranked 15 in South, with 14 points from 21 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sevastopol | 21 | 16 | 2 | 3 | 38 | 17 | 21 | 50 |
| 2 | Shahter Taganrog | 21 | 14 | 4 | 3 | 42 | 20 | 22 | 46 |
| 3 | Rostov II | 21 | 14 | 4 | 3 | 45 | 16 | 29 | 46 |
| 4 | Rubin Yalta | 20 | 9 | 7 | 4 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 34 |
| 5 | Pobeda | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 38 | 27 | 11 | 33 |
| 6 | Kyzyltash | 21 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 36 | 30 | 6 | 31 |
| 7 | Nart Cherkessk | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 30 |
| 8 | Spartak Nalchik | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 28 |
| 9 | Druzhba | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 27 |
| 10 | Lugansk | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 24 |
| 11 | Astrakhan | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 22 | 32 | -10 | 20 |
| 12 | Izberbash | 21 | 6 | 0 | 15 | 19 | 57 | -38 | 18 |
| 13 | Angust Nazran | 20 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 9 | 21 | -12 | 16 |
| 14 | FK Chayka 2 | 21 | 4 | 2 | 15 | 17 | 43 | -26 | 14 |
| 15 | Dynamo Makhachkala II | 21 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 19 | 39 | -20 | 14 |
| 16 | PSK Dinskaya | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Khimik Dzerzhinsk | 24 | 20 | 2 | 2 | 62 | 17 | 45 | 62 |
| 2 | KDV | 24 | 17 | 2 | 5 | 41 | 25 | 16 | 53 |
| 3 | Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod | 24 | 15 | 4 | 5 | 55 | 35 | 20 | 49 |
| 4 | Akron II | 24 | 10 | 3 | 11 | 49 | 38 | 11 | 33 |
| 5 | Krylya Sovetov II | 24 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 28 | 27 | 1 | 30 |
| 6 | Dinamo Barnaul | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 27 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Orenburg II | 23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 33 | 35 | -2 | 29 |
| 2 | Ural II | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 37 | 47 | -10 | 25 |
| 3 | Izhevsk | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 31 | 34 | -3 | 23 |
| 4 | Rubin Kazan 2 | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 28 | 38 | -10 | 23 |
| 5 | Nosta | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 22 | 50 | -28 | 21 |
| 6 | Chelyabinsk II | 24 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 20 | 38 | -18 | 20 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.