National League - South · National League South - 2
Ebbsfleet United1–0Folkestone Invicta
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 6 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsLost
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- National League - South
- Venue
- Stonebridge Road Stadium
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 1–0
- 90-minute score
- 1–0
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Ebbsfleet United vs Folkestone Invicta: match review and analysis
Ebbsfleet United vs Folkestone Invicta in National League - South on 6 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 1–0. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Ebbsfleet United recorded 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 15 and conceding 11. Folkestone Invicta recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses, with 17 scored and 15 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Ebbsfleet United | Folkestone Invicta |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 4 | 3 |
| Draws | 4 | 3 |
| Losses | 2 | 4 |
| Goals scored | 15 | 17 |
| Goals conceded | 11 | 15 |
| Over 1.5 games | 9 | 10 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Ebbsfleet United: (1.34 weighted goals scored + 1.84 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.59 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Folkestone Invicta: (1.46 weighted goals scored + 1.15 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.30 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Ebbsfleet United recent form
1.50 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SholingFA Cup | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Slough TownNational League - South | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Tonbridge AngelsNational League - South | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| MaidenheadFA Cup | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| SalisburyNational League - South | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Hemel Hempstead TownNational League - South | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Walton & HershamNational League - South | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| GillinghamFriendlies Clubs | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Cray Valley PMFriendlies Clubs | Away | 3–2 | Won | |
| Cardiff METFriendlies Clubs | Home | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from Ebbsfleet United’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Folkestone Invicta recent form
1.70 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. 10 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SalisburyNational League - South | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| DoverFA Cup | Away | 2–4 | Lost | |
| Farnham TownNational League - South | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| HorshamNational League - South | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| TorquayNational League - South | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Hemel Hempstead TownNational League - South | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Slough TownNational League - South | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Chelmsford CityNational League - South | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Maidstone UtdNational League - South | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Walton & HershamNational League - South | Home | 5–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Folkestone Invicta’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
National League - South — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Folkestone Invicta are ranked 14 in National League N/S: South, with 12 points from 9 games.
Ebbsfleet United are ranked 21 in National League N/S: South, with 9 points from 5 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maidstone Utd | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 19 |
| 2 | Dagenham & Redbridge | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 19 |
| 3 | Salisbury | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 7 | 11 | 18 |
| 4 | Billericay Town | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 18 |
| 5 | Weston-super-Mare | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 17 |
| 6 | Truro City | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 17 |
| 7 | Dover | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 17 |
| 8 | Dorking Wanderers | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 22 | 16 | 6 | 16 |
| 9 | Farnham Town | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 16 |
| 10 | Tonbridge Angels | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 14 |
| 11 | Maidenhead | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 13 |
| 12 | Hemel Hempstead Town | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 13 |
| 13 | Torquay | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 13 |
| 14 | Folkestone Invicta | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 12 |
| 15 | Chelmsford City | 9 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 11 |
| 16 | Horsham | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 11 |
| 17 | Farnborough | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 11 |
| 18 | Chesham United | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 10 |
| 19 | Braintree | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 10 |
| 20 | AFC Totton | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 15 | -7 | 10 |
| 21 | Ebbsfleet United | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 9 |
| 22 | Hampton & Richmond | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 24 | -13 | 8 |
| 23 | Slough Town | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 10 | 24 | -14 | 4 |
| 24 | Walton & Hersham | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 26 | -20 | 2 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.