Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 · Group 1 - 6
Eibar IIvsBasconia
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 10 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Eibar II vs Basconia: match review and analysis
Eibar II vs Basconia in Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 on 10 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Eibar II recorded 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 19 and conceding 11. Basconia recorded 3 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses, with 20 scored and 16 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Eibar II | Basconia |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 6 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 5 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
| Goals scored | 19 | 20 |
| Goals conceded | 11 | 16 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 9 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Eibar II: (1.96 weighted goals scored + 1.65 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.81 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Basconia: (1.93 weighted goals scored + 0.95 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.44 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Eibar II recent form
1.90 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Racing Santander IISegunda División RFEF - Group 1 | Away | 5–1 | Won | |
| CompostelaSegunda División RFEF - Group 1 | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Ourense CFSegunda División RFEF - Group 1 | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Gimnástica TorrelavegaSegunda División RFEF - Group 1 | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Real Oviedo IISegunda División RFEF - Group 1 | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| NáxaraSegunda División RFEF - Group 2 | Home | 3–2 | Won | |
| EjeaSegunda División RFEF - Group 2 | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| EbroSegunda División RFEF - Group 2 | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| UteboSegunda División RFEF - Group 2 | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| UD LogroñésSegunda División RFEF - Group 2 | Home | 3–2 | Won |
Scores shown from Eibar II’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Basconia recent form
2.00 goals scored and 1.60 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LlaneraSegunda División RFEF - Group 1 | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Marino de LuancoSegunda División RFEF - Group 1 | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| ArosaSegunda División RFEF - Group 1 | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Atlético AstorgaSegunda División RFEF - Group 1 | Home | 3–2 | Won | |
| Ourense CFSegunda División RFEF - Group 1 | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Racing Santander IIFriendlies Clubs | Away | 3–3 | Draw | |
| Gimnástica TorrelavegaFriendlies Clubs | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| EjeaSegunda División RFEF - Group 2 | Home | 5–1 | Won | |
| GernikaSegunda División RFEF - Group 2 | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Sestao RiverSegunda División RFEF - Group 2 | Away | 2–2 | Draw |
Scores shown from Basconia’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Eibar II are ranked 2 in Segunda Rfef: Group 1, with 12 points from 5 games.
Basconia are ranked 7 in Segunda Rfef: Group 1, with 8 points from 5 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bergantiños | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 13 |
| 2 | Eibar II | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 12 |
| 3 | Deportivo Alavés II | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 12 |
| 4 | Sestao River | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 12 |
| 5 | Ourense CF | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 10 |
| 6 | Gernika | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 8 |
| 7 | Basconia | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 8 |
| 8 | Amorebieta | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 7 |
| 9 | Portugalete | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 7 |
| 10 | Real Oviedo II | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 7 |
| 11 | Marino de Luanco | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 6 |
| 12 | Coruxo | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 5 |
| 13 | Compostela | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 4 |
| 14 | Gimnástica Torrelavega | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 4 |
| 15 | Llanera | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 4 |
| 16 | Atlético Astorga | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 3 |
| 17 | Arosa | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 3 |
| 18 | Racing Santander II | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 11 | -8 | 1 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.