Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 · Group 3 - 5
Elche II1–5Ucam Murcia
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 3 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or awayWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Segunda División RFEF - Group 3
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 1–5
- 90-minute score
- 1–5
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Elche II vs Ucam Murcia: match review and analysis
Elche II vs Ucam Murcia in Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 on 3 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 1–5. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or away.
Elche II recorded 4 wins, 1 draws and 5 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 10 and conceding 13. Ucam Murcia recorded 4 wins, 0 draws and 6 losses, with 15 scored and 14 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Elche II | Ucam Murcia |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 4 | 4 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 5 | 6 |
| Goals scored | 10 | 15 |
| Goals conceded | 13 | 14 |
| Over 1.5 games | 6 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Elche II: (0.92 weighted goals scored + 1.50 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.21 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Ucam Murcia: (1.52 weighted goals scored + 1.13 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.33 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours a decisive result. Either side winning satisfies this selection; a draw does not. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Elche II recent form
1.00 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YeclanoSegunda División RFEF - Group 3 | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Peña DeportivaSegunda División RFEF - Group 3 | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| CiezaSegunda División RFEF - Group 3 | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Lorca DeportivaSegunda División RFEF - Group 3 | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| FC CartagenaFriendlies Clubs | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Quintanar del ReySegunda División RFEF - Group 5 | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| CD CoriaSegunda División RFEF - Group 5 | Away | 0–4 | Lost | |
| Rayo MajadahondaSegunda División RFEF - Group 5 | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Tenerife IISegunda División RFEF - Group 5 | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| Rayo Vallecano IISegunda División RFEF - Group 5 | Home | 2–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Elche II’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Ucam Murcia recent form
1.50 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| IntercitySegunda División RFEF - Group 3 | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Atlético BalearesSegunda División RFEF - Group 3 | Away | 4–1 | Won | |
| Valencia IISegunda División RFEF - Group 3 | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| CastellonenseSegunda División RFEF - Group 3 | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| XerezSegunda División RFEF - Group 4 | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Real JaénSegunda División RFEF - Group 4 | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| La Unión AtléticoSegunda División RFEF - Group 4 | Away | 1–4 | Lost | |
| Málaga IISegunda División RFEF - Group 4 | Home | 4–0 | Won | |
| Deportiva MineraSegunda División RFEF - Group 4 | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Recreativo HuelvaSegunda División RFEF - Group 4 | Home | 2–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Ucam Murcia’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Ucam Murcia are ranked 5 in Group 3, with 9 points from 5 games.
Elche II are ranked 15 in Group 3, with 4 points from 5 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Castellón II | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 12 |
| 2 | La Nucía | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 12 |
| 3 | Castellonense | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 12 |
| 4 | Alcoyano | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 10 |
| 5 | Ucam Murcia | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 9 |
| 6 | Intercity | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 9 |
| 7 | Cieza | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 8 |
| 8 | Deportiva Minera | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 8 |
| 9 | Yeclano | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 8 |
| 10 | Orihuela | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 7 |
| 11 | Lorca Deportiva | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 5 |
| 12 | Mallorca II | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 5 |
| 13 | Atlético Baleares | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 5 |
| 14 | Valencia II | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 4 |
| 15 | Elche II | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 4 |
| 16 | Poblense | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 3 |
| 17 | Real Murcia II | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 3 |
| 18 | Peña Deportiva | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 1 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.