Serie B · Regular Season - 6
EmpolivsPalermo
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 10 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Away or drawBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Serie B
- Venue
- Carlo Castellani
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Empoli vs Palermo: match review and analysis
Empoli vs Palermo in Serie B on 10 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Away or draw.
Empoli recorded 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 10 and conceding 11. Palermo recorded 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses, with 20 scored and 10 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Empoli | Palermo |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 3 | 7 |
| Draws | 4 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 1 |
| Goals scored | 10 | 20 |
| Goals conceded | 11 | 10 |
| Over 1.5 games | 6 | 9 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Empoli: (0.88 weighted goals scored + 1.09 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.98 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Palermo: (2.03 weighted goals scored + 1.05 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.54 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the away side avoiding defeat. An away win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Empoli recent form
1.00 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ModenaSerie B | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| ArezzoSerie B | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| CarrareseSerie B | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| MantovaSerie B | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| CremoneseSerie B | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| PisaCoppa Italia | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| LivornoFriendlies Clubs | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| SpeziaFriendlies Clubs | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Virtus EntellaFriendlies Clubs | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| MonzaSerie B | Away | 2–2 | Draw |
Scores shown from Empoli’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Palermo recent form
2.00 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PadovaSerie B | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| AvellinoSerie B | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| SampdoriaSerie B | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| MantovaCoppa Italia | Home | 5–2 | Won | |
| ArezzoSerie B | Away | 3–2 | Won | |
| Juve StabiaSerie B | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| LecceCoppa Italia | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| JuventusFriendlies Clubs | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Melbourne CityFriendlies Clubs | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Iraklis 1908Friendlies Clubs | Home | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from Palermo’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Serie B — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Palermo are ranked 1 in Serie B, with 13 points from 5 games.
Empoli are ranked 13 in Serie B, with 6 points from 5 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palermo | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 13 |
| 2 | Sudtirol | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 11 |
| 3 | Mantova | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 11 |
| 4 | Ascoli | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 10 |
| 5 | Avellino | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 10 |
| 6 | Modena | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 10 |
| 7 | Padova | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 7 |
| 8 | Benevento | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 7 |
| 9 | Hellas Verona | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 7 |
| 10 | Cesena | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 7 |
| 11 | Pisa | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 7 |
| 12 | Arezzo | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 6 |
| 13 | Empoli | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 6 |
| 14 | Virtus Entella | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 5 |
| 15 | Cremonese | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 5 |
| 16 | Vicenza Virtus | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 5 |
| 17 | Sampdoria | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 4 |
| 18 | Catanzaro | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 3 |
| 19 | Juve Stabia | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 1 |
| 20 | Carrarese | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 1 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.