Primera B · Clausura - 5
EnvigadovsInternacional Palmira
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 11 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or drawBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Primera B
- Venue
- Estadio Polideportivo Sur
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Envigado vs Internacional Palmira: match review and analysis
Envigado vs Internacional Palmira in Primera B on 11 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or draw.
Envigado recorded 1 wins, 6 draws and 3 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 11 and conceding 11. Internacional Palmira recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses, with 7 scored and 9 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Envigado | Internacional Palmira |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 1 | 4 |
| Draws | 6 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 4 |
| Goals scored | 11 | 7 |
| Goals conceded | 11 | 9 |
| Over 1.5 games | 6 | 4 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Envigado: (1.21 weighted goals scored + 0.90 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.05 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Internacional Palmira: (0.70 weighted goals scored + 0.97 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.83 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the home side avoiding defeat. A home win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Envigado recent form
1.10 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bogota FCPrimera B | Away | 3–3 | Draw | |
| OrsomarsoPrimera B | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Depor FCPrimera B | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| Real CartagenaPrimera B | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Leones FCPrimera B | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| PopayanPrimera B | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Union MagdalenaPrimera B | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| QuindioPrimera B | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Tigres FCPrimera B | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Ind. YumboPrimera B | Away | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from Envigado’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Internacional Palmira recent form
0.70 goals scored and 0.90 conceded per game. 4 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tigres FCPrimera B | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Leones FCPrimera B | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Ind. YumboPrimera B | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Real CartagenaPrimera B | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Depor FCPrimera B | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Real CundinamarcaPrimera B | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Real SantanderPrimera B | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| BarranquillaPrimera B | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| QuindioPrimera B | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Bogota FCPrimera B | Home | 0–0 | Draw |
Scores shown from Internacional Palmira’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Primera B — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Internacional Palmira are ranked 1 in Primera B: Tabla Anual, with 59 points from 32 games.
Envigado are ranked 3 in Primera B: Tabla Anual, with 56 points from 34 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Internacional Palmira | 32 | 17 | 8 | 7 | 40 | 28 | 12 | 59 |
| 2 | Quindio | 32 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 33 | 21 | 12 | 57 |
| 3 | Envigado | 34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 46 | 31 | 15 | 56 |
| 4 | Real Cartagena | 35 | 15 | 11 | 9 | 55 | 41 | 14 | 56 |
| 5 | Union Magdalena | 32 | 15 | 8 | 9 | 45 | 31 | 14 | 53 |
| 6 | Tigres FC | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 33 | 27 | 6 | 46 |
| 7 | Ind. Yumbo | 27 | 11 | 10 | 6 | 29 | 21 | 8 | 43 |
| 8 | Bogota FC | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 38 |
| 9 | Real Cundinamarca | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 33 | 30 | 3 | 36 |
| 10 | Barranquilla | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 37 | 43 | -6 | 35 |
| 11 | Patriotas | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 30 | 34 | -4 | 34 |
| 12 | Popayan | 26 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 33 | 34 | -1 | 31 |
| 13 | Orsomarso | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 27 |
| 14 | Depor FC | 27 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 27 | 42 | -15 | 24 |
| 15 | Real Santander | 27 | 4 | 10 | 13 | 23 | 41 | -18 | 22 |
| 16 | Leones FC | 26 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 41 | -25 | 20 |
Internacional Palmira are ranked 1 in Primera B: Apertura, with 38 points from 15 games.
Envigado are ranked 4 in Primera B: Apertura, with 29 points from 15 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Internacional Palmira | 15 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 29 | 13 | 16 | 38 |
| 2 | Union Magdalena | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 15 | 12 | 32 |
| 3 | Quindio | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 20 | 10 | 10 | 31 |
| 4 | Envigado | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 24 | 14 | 10 | 29 |
| 5 | Real Cartagena | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 26 |
| 6 | Bogota FC | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 23 |
| 7 | Barranquilla | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 20 |
| 8 | Tigres FC | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 20 |
| 9 | Ind. Yumbo | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 19 |
| 10 | Orsomarso | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 17 |
| 11 | Patriotas | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 17 |
| 12 | Popayan | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 13 |
| 13 | Real Cundinamarca | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 13 |
| 14 | Leones FC | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 24 | -16 | 10 |
| 15 | Depor FC | 15 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 9 |
| 16 | Real Santander | 15 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 9 | 23 | -14 | 7 |
Envigado are ranked 1 in Primera B: Apertura - Quadrangular, with 11 points from 6 games.
Internacional Palmira are ranked 3 in Primera B: Apertura - Quadrangular, with 7 points from 6 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Envigado | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 11 |
| 1 | Real Cartagena | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 13 |
| 2 | Quindio | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 10 |
| 2 | Union Magdalena | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 9 |
| 3 | Internacional Palmira | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 7 |
| 3 | Barranquilla | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 6 |
| 4 | Tigres FC | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 4 |
| 4 | Bogota FC | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 3 |
Internacional Palmira are ranked 10 in Primera B: Clausura, with 14 points from 11 games.
Envigado are ranked 11 in Primera B: Clausura, with 12 points from 11 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ind. Yumbo | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 24 |
| 2 | Real Cundinamarca | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 23 |
| 3 | Tigres FC | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 14 | 5 | 9 | 22 |
| 4 | Popayan | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 18 |
| 5 | Patriotas | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 17 |
| 6 | Real Cartagena | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 16 |
| 7 | Quindio | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 16 |
| 8 | Depor FC | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 15 |
| 9 | Real Santander | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 15 |
| 10 | Internacional Palmira | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 14 |
| 11 | Envigado | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 12 |
| 12 | Union Magdalena | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 12 |
| 13 | Bogota FC | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 12 |
| 14 | Orsomarso | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 10 |
| 15 | Leones FC | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 10 |
| 16 | Barranquilla | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 9 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.