2. Lig · 2. Lig White Group - 5
Erbaaspor2–4Aliağa FAŞ
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 3 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- 2. Lig
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 2–4
- 90-minute score
- 2–4
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Erbaaspor vs Aliağa FAŞ: match review and analysis
Erbaaspor vs Aliağa FAŞ in 2. Lig on 3 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 2–4. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Erbaaspor recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 17 and conceding 20. Aliağa FAŞ recorded 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses, with 17 scored and 15 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Erbaaspor | Aliağa FAŞ |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 3 | 5 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 5 | 2 |
| Goals scored | 17 | 17 |
| Goals conceded | 20 | 15 |
| Over 1.5 games | 10 | 9 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Erbaaspor: (1.96 weighted goals scored + 1.66 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.81 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Aliağa FAŞ: (1.56 weighted goals scored + 1.97 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.76 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Erbaaspor recent form
1.70 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per game. 10 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adana Demirspor2. Lig | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
| Sebat Gençlikspor2. Lig | Home | 3–2 | Won | |
| Ankaraspor2. Lig | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Muş Sport Klübü2. Lig | Home | 4–4 | Draw | |
| Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı2. Lig | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Ankaragücü2. Lig | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Elazığspor2. Lig | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Adana 01 FK2. Lig | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| 24 Erzincanspor2. Lig | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| İskenderunspor2. Lig | Home | 2–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Erbaaspor’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Aliağa FAŞ recent form
1.70 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Şanlıurfaspor2. Lig | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Elazığspor2. Lig | Away | 0–5 | Lost | |
| Isparta 32 Spor2. Lig | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Arnavutköy Belediyespor2. Lig | Away | 4–1 | Won | |
| Muş Sport Klübü2. Lig | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Muş Sport Klübü2. Lig | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Bursaspor2. Lig | Home | 0–5 | Lost | |
| 68 Aksaray Belediyespor2. Lig | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Menemen FK2. Lig | Home | 5–0 | Won | |
| Kırklarelispor2. Lig | Away | 2–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Aliağa FAŞ’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
2. Lig — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Aliağa FAŞ are ranked 2 in Lig B: White Group, with 12 points from 5 games.
Erbaaspor are ranked 8 in Lig B: White Group, with 7 points from 5 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Muş Sport Klübü | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 13 |
| 2 | Aliağa FAŞ | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 12 |
| 3 | Elazığspor | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 10 |
| 4 | Çorluspor 1947 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 10 |
| 5 | Güzide Gebzespor | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 9 |
| 6 | Menemen FK | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 9 |
| 7 | İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 7 |
| 8 | Erbaaspor | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 7 |
| 9 | Somaspor | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 7 |
| 10 | Isparta 32 Spor | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 7 |
| 11 | Şanlıurfaspor | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 6 |
| 12 | Ankaraspor | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 6 |
| 13 | 68 Aksaray Belediyespor | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 5 |
| 14 | Kastamonuspor | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 13 | -9 | 3 |
| 15 | Sebat Gençlikspor | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 1 |
| 16 | Arnavutköy Belediyespor | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 11 | -9 | 0 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sakaryaspor | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 15 |
| 2 | Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 10 |
| 3 | Adana 01 FK | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 10 |
| 4 | Yeni Orduspor | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 9 |
| 5 | 24 Erzincanspor | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 9 |
| 6 | Kahramanmaraş İstiklal Spor | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 8 |
| 7 | Ankaragücü | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 7 |
| 8 | 1461 Trabzon FK | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 7 |
| 9 | Ankara Demirspor | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 7 |
| 10 | Karacabey Belediyespor | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 7 |
| 11 | 12 Bingölspor | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 5 |
| 12 | Serik Spor | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 5 |
| 13 | Kırklarelispor | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 4 |
| 14 | Fethiyespor | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 4 |
| 15 | Kütahyaspor | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 3 |
| 16 | İnegölspor | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 1 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.