Premier League · Regular Season - 7
ErchimvsUlaanbaatar
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 11 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Premier League
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Erchim vs Ulaanbaatar: match review and analysis
Erchim vs Ulaanbaatar in Premier League on 11 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Erchim recorded 2 wins, 0 draws and 8 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 12 and conceding 42. Ulaanbaatar recorded 6 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses, with 37 scored and 14 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Erchim | Ulaanbaatar |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 2 | 6 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 8 | 3 |
| Goals scored | 12 | 37 |
| Goals conceded | 42 | 14 |
| Over 1.5 games | 9 | 9 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Erchim: (1.36 weighted goals scored + 1.07 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.21 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Ulaanbaatar: (4.18 weighted goals scored + 4.17 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 4.18 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Erchim recent form
1.20 goals scored and 4.20 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Central StallionsPremier League | Home | 1–4 | Lost | |
| KhovdPremier League | Home | 2–8 | Lost | |
| Khovd WesternPremier League | Away | 3–2 | Won | |
| Amtat FCPremier League | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Ulaangom CityPremier League | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Bayanzürkh SportingPremier League | Home | 3–5 | Lost | |
| HuntersPremier League | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| UlaanbaatarPremier League | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| FalconsPremier League | Away | 0–12 | Lost | |
| DerenPremier League | Home | 1–3 | Lost |
Scores shown from Erchim’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Ulaanbaatar recent form
3.70 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ulaangom CityPremier League | Home | 8–0 | Won | |
| KhovdPremier League | Away | 4–0 | Won | |
| HuntersPremier League | Home | 5–3 | Won | |
| Amtat FCPremier League | Away | 9–0 | Won | |
| DerenPremier League | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Hang YuenAFC Challenge League | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| DerenPremier League | Home | 2–3 | Lost | |
| KhangaridPremier League | Away | 4–3 | Won | |
| Central StallionsPremier League | Home | 2–3 | Lost | |
| DerenPremier League | Away | 2–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Ulaanbaatar’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Premier League — current table
Season 2027 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Ulaanbaatar are ranked 3 in Premier League, with 13 points from 5 games.
Erchim are ranked 6 in Premier League, with 6 points from 5 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Central Stallions | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 27 | 6 | 21 | 18 |
| 2 | Deren | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 20 | 7 | 13 | 14 |
| 3 | Ulaanbaatar | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 26 | 3 | 23 | 13 |
| 4 | Khovd | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 7 |
| 5 | Hunters | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 6 |
| 6 | Erchim | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 6 |
| 7 | Khovd Western | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 3 |
| 8 | Amtat FC | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 23 | -18 | 3 |
| 9 | Ulaangom City | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 26 | -22 | 0 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.