Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 · Group 4 - 5
Estepona3–1Don Benito
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 3 October 2026
Match Finished
This match has finished. Go back home for the latest fixtures →
THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Away or drawLost
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 3–1
- 90-minute score
- 3–1
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Estepona vs Don Benito: match review and analysis
Estepona vs Don Benito in Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 on 3 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 3–1. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Away or draw.
Estepona recorded 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 17 and conceding 14. Don Benito recorded 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses, with 19 scored and 4 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Estepona | Don Benito |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 5 | 7 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
| Goals scored | 17 | 19 |
| Goals conceded | 14 | 4 |
| Over 1.5 games | 9 | 5 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Estepona: (1.55 weighted goals scored + 0.42 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.99 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Don Benito: (1.66 weighted goals scored + 1.47 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.57 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the away side avoiding defeat. An away win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Estepona recent form
1.70 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tenerife IISegunda División RFEF - Group 4 | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Puente GenilSegunda División RFEF - Group 4 | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Linares DeportivoSegunda División RFEF - Group 4 | Home | 1–4 | Lost | |
| XerezSegunda División RFEF - Group 4 | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Real Madrid IIISegunda División RFEF - Play-offs | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| Real Madrid IIISegunda División RFEF - Play-offs | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| YeclanoSegunda División RFEF - Group 4 | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| ÁguilasSegunda División RFEF - Group 4 | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Linares DeportivoSegunda División RFEF - Group 4 | Away | 3–2 | Won | |
| Almería IISegunda División RFEF - Group 4 | Away | 2–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Estepona’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Don Benito recent form
1.90 goals scored and 0.40 conceded per game. 5 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SanluqueñoSegunda División RFEF - Group 4 | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| XerezSegunda División RFEF - Group 4 | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Las Palmas IISegunda División RFEF - Group 4 | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| AntonianoSegunda División RFEF - Group 4 | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| MoraloTercera División RFEF - Group 14 | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| DiocesanoTercera División RFEF - Group 14 | Home | 8–1 | Won | |
| VillafrancaTercera División RFEF - Group 14 | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| JerezTercera División RFEF - Group 14 | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Santa AmaliaTercera División RFEF - Group 14 | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| AzuagaTercera División RFEF - Group 14 | Home | 1–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Don Benito’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Don Benito are ranked 3 in Group 4, with 10 points from 5 games.
Estepona are ranked 8 in Group 4, with 7 points from 5 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Betis II | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 8 | 13 |
| 2 | Recreativo Huelva | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 12 |
| 3 | Don Benito | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 10 |
| 4 | Tenerife II | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 9 |
| 5 | Ciudad de Lucena | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 8 |
| 6 | Sevilla Atletico | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 8 |
| 7 | Badajoz | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 8 |
| 8 | Estepona | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 7 |
| 9 | Linares Deportivo | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 7 |
| 10 | Mijas Las Lagunas | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 6 |
| 11 | Sanluqueño | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 6 |
| 12 | Atlético Central | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 6 |
| 13 | Xerez | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 5 |
| 14 | Marbella | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 5 |
| 15 | Puente Genil | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 4 |
| 16 | Las Palmas II | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 8 | -7 | 4 |
| 17 | Tamaraceite | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 3 |
| 18 | Antoniano | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 2 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.