Liga Profesional Argentina · Clausura - 11
Estudiantes L.P.3–0Gimnasia M.
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 5 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or awayWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Liga Profesional Argentina
- Venue
- Estadio Jorge Luis Hirschi
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 3–0
- 90-minute score
- 3–0
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
- 83′Edwuin CetrePenaltyEstudiantes L.P.
- 90′Fabricio PérezNormal GoalEstudiantes L.P.
- 90+4′
Cards
- 41′Tomás O'ConnorYellow CardGimnasia M.Foul
- 52′Luciano ParedesYellow CardGimnasia M.Foul
- 66′Leandro Gonzalez PirezYellow CardEstudiantes L.P.Foul
- 80′Diego MondinoYellow CardGimnasia M.Foul
Events updated
Lineups
Estudiantes L.P.
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Alexander Medina
Starting XI
- 16F. MusleraG
- 40E. MancusoD
- 4S. NunezD
- 14L. Gonzalez PirezD
- 13G. BenedettiD
- 21L. PioviM
- 31B. RodriguezM
- 17J. BurgosM
- 34M. MonsalveM
- 18E. CetreM
- 19A. GaichF
Substitutes
Gimnasia M.
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Ariel Broggi
Starting XI
- 23C. RigamontiG
- 32L. ParedesD
- 2D. MondinoD
- 4E. MunozD
- 3M. RecaldeD
- 21F. AntoniniM
- 28T. O'ConnorM
- 8M. VargasM
- 30E. FernandezM
- 26F. LencioniM
- 9A. ModicaF
Substitutes
- 31L. PetruchiG
- 22J. FrancoD
- 42L. CarreraM
- 16G. GuiffreyD
- 19J. CeballosM
- 5N. BarbozaM
- 33B. AndradaF
- 27B. ArmoaF
- 11S. RodriguezF
- 10N. RomanoF
- 15U. SanchezM
- 35V. SimoniF
G: goalkeeper · D: defender · M: midfielder · F: forward. Select a player to view their profile.
Lineups updated
Real Scored match analysis
Estudiantes L.P. vs Gimnasia M.: match review and analysis
Estudiantes L.P. vs Gimnasia M. in Liga Profesional Argentina on 5 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 3–0. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or away.
Estudiantes L.P. recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 9 and conceding 12. Gimnasia M. recorded 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses, with 14 scored and 9 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Estudiantes L.P. | Gimnasia M. |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 3 | 5 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 5 | 3 |
| Goals scored | 9 | 14 |
| Goals conceded | 12 | 9 |
| Over 1.5 games | 6 | 6 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Estudiantes L.P.: (0.96 weighted goals scored + 1.02 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.99 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Gimnasia M.: (1.35 weighted goals scored + 1.30 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.33 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours a decisive result. Either side winning satisfies this selection; a draw does not. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Estudiantes L.P. recent form
0.90 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PlatenseCopa Argentina | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Rosario CentralSuper Copa International | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| LanusLiga Profesional Argentina | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| CorinthiansCONMEBOL Libertadores | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| PlatenseLiga Profesional Argentina | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| CorinthiansCONMEBOL Libertadores | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Velez SarsfieldLiga Profesional Argentina | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Newells Old BoysLiga Profesional Argentina | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Barracas CentralCopa Argentina | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| Sarmiento JuninLiga Profesional Argentina | Away | 0–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Estudiantes L.P.’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Gimnasia M. recent form
1.40 goals scored and 0.90 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo RiestraLiga Profesional Argentina | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Defensa Y JusticiaLiga Profesional Argentina | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Boca JuniorsLiga Profesional Argentina | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| IndependienteLiga Profesional Argentina | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
| Gimnasia L.P.Liga Profesional Argentina | Away | 3–2 | Won | |
| Talleres CordobaLiga Profesional Argentina | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| Instituto CordobaLiga Profesional Argentina | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Union Santa FeLiga Profesional Argentina | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| San LorenzoLiga Profesional Argentina | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Central Cordoba de SantiagoLiga Profesional Argentina | Home | 1–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Gimnasia M.’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Liga Profesional Argentina — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Estudiantes L.P. are ranked 1 in Apertura - Group A, with 31 points from 16 games.
Gimnasia M. are ranked 11 in Apertura - Group A, with 19 points from 16 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Estudiantes L.P. | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 31 |
| 2 | Boca Juniors | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 22 | 9 | 13 | 30 |
| 3 | Velez Sarsfield | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 28 |
| 4 | Talleres Cordoba | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 26 |
| 5 | Independiente | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 24 |
| 6 | Lanus | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 24 |
| 7 | San Lorenzo | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 22 |
| 8 | Union Santa Fe | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 21 |
| 9 | Instituto Cordoba | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 21 |
| 10 | Defensa Y Justicia | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 19 |
| 11 | Gimnasia M. | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 19 |
| 12 | Platense | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 16 |
| 13 | Central Cordoba de Santiago | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 16 |
| 14 | Newells Old Boys | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 27 | -12 | 15 |
| 15 | Deportivo Riestra | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 11 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independ. Rivadavia | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 29 | 15 | 14 | 34 |
| 2 | River Plate | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 29 |
| 3 | Argentinos JRS | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 29 |
| 4 | Rosario Central | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 28 |
| 5 | Belgrano Cordoba | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 26 |
| 6 | Gimnasia L.P. | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 26 |
| 7 | Huracan | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 22 |
| 8 | Racing Club | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 21 |
| 9 | Barracas Central | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 21 |
| 10 | Tigre | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 20 |
| 11 | Sarmiento Junin | 16 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 19 |
| 12 | Banfield | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 18 |
| 13 | Atletico Tucuman | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 14 |
| 14 | Aldosivi | 16 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 19 | -13 | 8 |
| 15 | Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | 16 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 5 | 24 | -19 | 5 |
Gimnasia M. are ranked 7 in Clausura - Group A, with 17 points from 11 games.
Estudiantes L.P. are ranked 9 in Clausura - Group A, with 13 points from 11 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Instituto Cordoba | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 25 |
| 2 | Velez Sarsfield | 11 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 21 |
| 3 | Defensa Y Justicia | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 21 |
| 4 | Boca Juniors | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 20 |
| 5 | Lanus | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 17 |
| 6 | Newells Old Boys | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 17 |
| 7 | Gimnasia M. | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 17 |
| 8 | Independiente | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 17 |
| 9 | Estudiantes L.P. | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 13 |
| 10 | Union Santa Fe | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 13 |
| 11 | Deportivo Riestra | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 11 |
| 12 | San Lorenzo | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 11 |
| 13 | Platense | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 10 |
| 14 | Central Cordoba de Santiago | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 9 |
| 15 | Talleres Cordoba | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 8 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Argentinos JRS | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 21 |
| 2 | Belgrano Cordoba | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 19 |
| 3 | Rosario Central | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 19 |
| 4 | Huracan | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 19 |
| 5 | Independ. Rivadavia | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 18 |
| 6 | Gimnasia L.P. | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 18 |
| 7 | Sarmiento Junin | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 16 |
| 8 | Barracas Central | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 15 |
| 9 | River Plate | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 13 |
| 10 | Atletico Tucuman | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 13 |
| 11 | Tigre | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 12 |
| 12 | Racing Club | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 11 |
| 13 | Banfield | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 10 |
| 14 | Aldosivi | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 8 |
| 15 | Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 6 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.