CAF U23 Cup of Nations · Quarter-finals
Eswatini U231–1Malawi U23
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 6 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or drawWon
Based on 5 previous home-team games and 1 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- CAF U23 Cup of Nations
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 1–1
- 90-minute score
- 1–1
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Eswatini U23 vs Malawi U23: match review and analysis
Eswatini U23 vs Malawi U23 in CAF U23 Cup of Nations on 6 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 1–1. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or draw.
Eswatini U23 recorded 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses in the 5 games used here, scoring 4 and conceding 3. Malawi U23 recorded 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 losses, with 0 scored and 1 conceded across 1 games.
| Statistic | Eswatini U23 | Malawi U23 |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 5 | 1 |
| Wins | 2 | 0 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
| Goals scored | 4 | 0 |
| Goals conceded | 3 | 1 |
| Over 1.5 games | 2 | 0 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Eswatini U23: (0.77 weighted goals scored + 1.00 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.88 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Malawi U23: (0.00 weighted goals scored + 0.49 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.24 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the home side avoiding defeat. A home win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 5 GAMES
Eswatini U23 recent form
0.80 goals scored and 0.60 conceded per game. 2 of 5 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malawi U23CAF U23 Cup of Nations | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Egypt U23Africa U23 Cup of Nations - Qualification | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Egypt U23Africa U23 Cup of Nations - Qualification | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Botswana U23Africa U23 Cup of Nations - Qualification | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Botswana U23Africa U23 Cup of Nations - Qualification | Home | 2–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Eswatini U23’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded. Only 5 usable previous results were available.
LAST 1 GAMES
Malawi U23 recent form
0.00 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. 0 of 1 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eswatini U23CAF U23 Cup of Nations | Home | 0–1 | Lost |
Scores shown from Malawi U23’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded. Only 1 usable previous results were available.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
CAF U23 Cup of Nations — current table
No league table is currently available for this competition and season. Some cup rounds and friendlies do not have standings.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.