Second League · Regular Season - 12
Etar Veliko TarnovovsFratria
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 9 October 2026
Not Started
This match has finished. Go back home for the latest fixtures →
THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Second League
- Venue
- Ivajlo Stadion
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Etar Veliko Tarnovo vs Fratria: match review and analysis
Etar Veliko Tarnovo vs Fratria in Second League on 9 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Etar Veliko Tarnovo recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 15 and conceding 20. Fratria recorded 6 wins, 4 draws and 0 losses, with 19 scored and 7 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Etar Veliko Tarnovo | Fratria |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 4 | 6 |
| Draws | 2 | 4 |
| Losses | 4 | 0 |
| Goals scored | 15 | 19 |
| Goals conceded | 20 | 7 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 9 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Etar Veliko Tarnovo: (1.58 weighted goals scored + 0.70 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.14 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Fratria: (1.99 weighted goals scored + 2.10 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 2.05 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Etar Veliko Tarnovo recent form
1.50 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chernomorets BalchikCup | Away | 3–2 | Won | |
| Chernomorets 1919 BurgasSecond League | Home | 2–4 | Lost | |
| Hebar 1918Second League | Away | 1–4 | Lost | |
| CSKA Sofia IISecond League | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| VihrenSecond League | Away | 1–4 | Lost | |
| BeroeSecond League | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Lokomotiv G. OryahovitsaSecond League | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Rilski SportistSecond League | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| MarekSecond League | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Yantra 2019Second League | Home | 2–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Etar Veliko Tarnovo’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Fratria recent form
1.90 goals scored and 0.70 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Balkan BotevgradCup | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
| Spartak PlevenSecond League | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| Pirin BlagoevgradSecond League | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Ludogorets IISecond League | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Chernomorets 1919 BurgasSecond League | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Hebar 1918Second League | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| CSKA Sofia IISecond League | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| VihrenSecond League | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| BeroeSecond League | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Lokomotiv G. OryahovitsaSecond League | Away | 2–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Fratria’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Second League — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Fratria are ranked 3 in B PFG, with 22 points from 11 games.
Etar Veliko Tarnovo are ranked 11 in B PFG, with 14 points from 10 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vihren | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 24 |
| 2 | CSKA Sofia II | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 9 | 14 | 23 |
| 3 | Fratria | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 22 |
| 4 | Chernomorets 1919 Burgas | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 21 |
| 5 | Beroe | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 18 |
| 6 | Rilski Sportist | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 18 |
| 7 | Nesebar | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 20 | 17 | 3 | 17 |
| 8 | Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 16 |
| 9 | Yantra 2019 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 16 |
| 10 | Hebar 1918 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 14 |
| 11 | Etar Veliko Tarnovo | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 14 |
| 12 | Marek | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 14 |
| 13 | Spartak Pleven | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 13 |
| 14 | Ludogorets II | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 12 |
| 15 | Montana | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 11 |
| 16 | Sportist Svoge | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 10 |
| 17 | Dobrudzha | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 9 |
| 18 | Pirin Blagoevgrad | 11 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 4 | 33 | -29 | 0 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.