3. Lig - Group 2 · 3. Lig Group 2 - 5
Etimesgut SK1–0Uşak Spor
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 3 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or drawWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- 3. Lig - Group 2
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 1–0
- 90-minute score
- 1–0
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Etimesgut SK vs Uşak Spor: match review and analysis
Etimesgut SK vs Uşak Spor in 3. Lig - Group 2 on 3 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 1–0. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or draw.
Etimesgut SK recorded 7 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 14 and conceding 7. Uşak Spor recorded 1 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses, with 10 scored and 17 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Etimesgut SK | Uşak Spor |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 7 | 1 |
| Draws | 0 | 3 |
| Losses | 3 | 6 |
| Goals scored | 14 | 10 |
| Goals conceded | 7 | 17 |
| Over 1.5 games | 6 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Etimesgut SK: (1.41 weighted goals scored + 1.82 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.62 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Uşak Spor: (1.12 weighted goals scored + 0.49 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.80 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the home side avoiding defeat. A home win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Etimesgut SK recent form
1.40 goals scored and 0.70 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alanya 1221 FK3. Lig - Group 2 | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
| Bucaspor 19283. Lig - Group 2 | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Nilüfer Belediye3. Lig - Group 2 | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Karsiyaka3. Lig - Group 2 | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Küçükçekmece Sinopspor3. Lig - Play-offs | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Küçükçekmece Sinopspor3. Lig - Play-offs | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Kartal Bulvarspor3. Lig - Group 1 | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Küçükçekmece Sinopspor3. Lig - Group 1 | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Yalova Yeşilovaspor3. Lig - Group 1 | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Edirnespor3. Lig - Group 1 | Away | 3–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Etimesgut SK’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Uşak Spor recent form
1.00 goals scored and 1.70 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Akşehirspor3. Lig - Group 2 | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| Balıkesirspor3. Lig - Group 2 | Away | 1–4 | Lost | |
| Eskişehirspor3. Lig - Group 2 | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Bigaspor3. Lig - Group 2 | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| İzmir Çoruhlu FK3. Lig - Group 4 | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Anadolu Üniversitesi3. Lig - Group 4 | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Alanya 1221 FK3. Lig - Group 4 | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Balıkesirspor3. Lig - Group 4 | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Kütahyaspor3. Lig - Group 4 | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Karsiyaka3. Lig - Group 4 | Home | 1–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Uşak Spor’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
3. Lig - Group 2 — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Etimesgut SK are ranked 2 in 3. Lig Group 2, with 12 points from 5 games.
Uşak Spor are ranked 12 in 3. Lig Group 2, with 5 points from 5 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nilüfer Belediye | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 8 | 13 |
| 2 | Etimesgut SK | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 12 |
| 3 | Anadolu Üniversitesi | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 11 |
| 4 | Bursa Yıldırımspor | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 11 |
| 5 | Eskişehirspor | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 10 |
| 6 | Ayvalikgucu | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 10 |
| 7 | Balıkesirspor | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 9 |
| 8 | Bigaspor | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 8 |
| 9 | Söke 1970 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 6 |
| 10 | Altay | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 6 |
| 11 | Gaziemirspor | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 6 |
| 12 | Uşak Spor | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 5 |
| 13 | Karsiyaka | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 5 |
| 14 | Bucaspor 1928 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 3 |
| 15 | Akşehirspor | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 13 | -9 | 3 |
| 16 | Kepezspor | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 2 |
| 17 | Denizli İYG | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 10 | -9 | 2 |
| 18 | Alanya 1221 FK | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 13 | -12 | 1 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.