Challenge League · Regular Season - 10
Étoile CarougevsYverdon Sport
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 9 October 2026
Not Started
This match has finished. Go back home for the latest fixtures →
THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Away or drawBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Challenge League
- Venue
- Stade de la Fontenette
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Étoile Carouge vs Yverdon Sport: match review and analysis
Étoile Carouge vs Yverdon Sport in Challenge League on 9 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Away or draw.
Étoile Carouge recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 10 and conceding 12. Yverdon Sport recorded 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 losses, with 20 scored and 9 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Étoile Carouge | Yverdon Sport |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 3 | 6 |
| Draws | 3 | 3 |
| Losses | 4 | 1 |
| Goals scored | 10 | 20 |
| Goals conceded | 12 | 9 |
| Over 1.5 games | 7 | 9 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Étoile Carouge: (0.91 weighted goals scored + 1.06 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.98 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Yverdon Sport: (1.99 weighted goals scored + 1.34 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.66 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the away side avoiding defeat. An away win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Étoile Carouge recent form
1.00 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SC KriensChallenge League | Away | 1–4 | Lost | |
| FC WinterthurChallenge League | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| FC WIL 1900Challenge League | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Stade Lausanne-OuchyChallenge League | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| RapperswilChallenge League | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Stade NyonnaisChallenge League | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Collex-BossySchweizer Cup | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Neuchatel Xamax FCChallenge League | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Yverdon SportChallenge League | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| FC AarauChallenge League | Home | 3–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Étoile Carouge’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Yverdon Sport recent form
2.00 goals scored and 0.90 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GrasshoppersFriendlies Clubs | Away | 3–2 | Won | |
| Stade Lausanne-OuchyChallenge League | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| RapperswilChallenge League | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Stade NyonnaisChallenge League | Home | 4–1 | Won | |
| Neuchatel Xamax FCChallenge League | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| FC WIL 1900Challenge League | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| FC AarauChallenge League | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Terre SainteSchweizer Cup | Away | 5–0 | Won | |
| SC KriensChallenge League | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Étoile CarougeChallenge League | Home | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from Yverdon Sport’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Challenge League — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Yverdon Sport are ranked 3 in Challenge League, with 16 points from 9 games.
Étoile Carouge are ranked 8 in Challenge League, with 9 points from 9 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 17 | 3 | 14 | 21 |
| 2 | FC Winterthur | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 18 |
| 3 | Yverdon Sport | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 16 |
| 4 | SC Kriens | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 14 |
| 5 | FC Aarau | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 12 |
| 6 | Neuchatel Xamax FC | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 12 |
| 7 | Rapperswil | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 10 |
| 8 | Étoile Carouge | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 9 |
| 9 | FC WIL 1900 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 9 |
| 10 | Stade Nyonnais | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 23 | -17 | 2 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.