EFL Trophy · Group South - 1
Exeter City2–2Oxford United
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 6 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or awayLost
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- EFL Trophy
- Venue
- St James Park
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 2–2
- 90-minute score
- 2–2
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Exeter City vs Oxford United: match review and analysis
Exeter City vs Oxford United in EFL Trophy on 6 October 2026 has finished after a penalty shootout. The match goal score was 2–2, excluding shootout kicks. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or away.
Exeter City recorded 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 9 and conceding 7. Oxford United recorded 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 20 scored and 11 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Exeter City | Oxford United |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 3 | 6 |
| Draws | 4 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 2 |
| Goals scored | 9 | 20 |
| Goals conceded | 7 | 11 |
| Over 1.5 games | 5 | 10 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Exeter City: (0.86 weighted goals scored + 1.12 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.99 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Oxford United: (2.01 weighted goals scored + 0.57 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.29 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours a decisive result. Either side winning satisfies this selection; a draw does not. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Exeter City recent form
0.90 goals scored and 0.70 conceded per game. 5 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RotherhamLeague Two | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Bristol RoversLeague Two | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| CheltenhamEFL Trophy | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| TranmereLeague Two | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Port ValeLeague Two | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Tottenham Hotspur U21EFL Trophy | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| WalsallLeague Two | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| BarnetLeague Two | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| YorkLeague Two | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Accrington STLeague Two | Home | 2–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Exeter City’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Oxford United recent form
2.00 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game. 10 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cambridge UnitedLeague One | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Burton AlbionLeague One | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| LeicesterLeague One | Away | 4–0 | Won | |
| HuddersfieldLeague One | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| StevenageLeague One | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Milton Keynes DonsLeague One | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Leyton OrientLeague Cup | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| IpswichFriendlies Clubs | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Crawley TownFriendlies Clubs | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| BarnetFriendlies Clubs | Away | 2–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Oxford United’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
EFL Trophy — current table
No league table is currently available for this competition and season. Some cup rounds and friendlies do not have standings.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.