League Two · Regular Season - 9
Exeter City1–0Rotherham
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 3 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or awayWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- League Two
- Venue
- St James Park
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 1–0
- 90-minute score
- 1–0
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Exeter City vs Rotherham: match review and analysis
Exeter City vs Rotherham in League Two on 3 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 1–0. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or away.
Exeter City recorded 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 8 and conceding 8. Rotherham recorded 2 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses, with 13 scored and 16 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Exeter City | Rotherham |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 4 | 5 |
| Losses | 4 | 3 |
| Goals scored | 8 | 13 |
| Goals conceded | 8 | 16 |
| Over 1.5 games | 5 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Exeter City: (0.79 weighted goals scored + 1.36 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.07 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Rotherham: (1.23 weighted goals scored + 0.71 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.97 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours a decisive result. Either side winning satisfies this selection; a draw does not. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Exeter City recent form
0.80 goals scored and 0.80 conceded per game. 5 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bristol RoversLeague Two | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| CheltenhamEFL Trophy | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| TranmereLeague Two | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Port ValeLeague Two | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Tottenham Hotspur U21EFL Trophy | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| WalsallLeague Two | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| BarnetLeague Two | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| YorkLeague Two | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Accrington STLeague Two | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| GrimsbyLeague Two | Away | 0–1 | Lost |
Scores shown from Exeter City’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Rotherham recent form
1.30 goals scored and 1.60 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CreweLeague Two | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| YorkEFL Trophy | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| NorthamptonLeague Two | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Salford CityLeague Two | Home | 3–3 | Draw | |
| Bristol RoversLeague Two | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| TranmereLeague Two | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| ChesterfieldLeague Two | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| YorkLeague Two | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| CheltenhamLeague Two | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| West BromLeague Cup | Home | 1–4 | Lost |
Scores shown from Rotherham’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
League Two — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Rotherham are ranked 17 in League Two, with 10 points from 9 games.
Exeter City are ranked 20 in League Two, with 9 points from 9 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Salford City | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 10 | 3 | 16 |
| 2 | Barnet | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 15 |
| 3 | Crewe | 9 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 15 |
| 4 | Cheltenham | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 15 |
| 5 | Bristol Rovers | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 15 |
| 6 | York | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 14 |
| 7 | Walsall | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 14 |
| 8 | Chesterfield | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 14 |
| 9 | Grimsby | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 13 | 10 | 3 | 13 |
| 10 | Gillingham | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 13 |
| 11 | Rochdale | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 13 |
| 12 | Tranmere | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 11 |
| 13 | Swindon Town | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 11 |
| 14 | Shrewsbury | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 11 |
| 15 | Newport County | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 10 |
| 16 | Accrington ST | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 10 |
| 17 | Rotherham | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 10 |
| 18 | Fleetwood Town | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 10 |
| 19 | Colchester | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 10 |
| 20 | Exeter City | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 9 |
| 21 | Oldham | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 7 |
| 22 | Northampton | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 6 |
| 23 | Port Vale | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 9 | -6 | 5 |
| 24 | Crawley Town | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 4 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.