Emperor Cup · Round of 32
Fagiano Okayama1–0JEF United Chiba
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 7 October 2026
Match Finished
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsLost
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Emperor Cup
- Venue
- City Light Stadium
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 1–0
- 90-minute score
- 1–0
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Fagiano Okayama vs JEF United Chiba: match review and analysis
Fagiano Okayama vs JEF United Chiba in Emperor Cup on 7 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 1–0. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Fagiano Okayama recorded 6 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 16 and conceding 11. JEF United Chiba recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses, with 11 scored and 19 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Fagiano Okayama | JEF United Chiba |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 6 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 6 |
| Goals scored | 16 | 11 |
| Goals conceded | 11 | 19 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 9 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Fagiano Okayama: (1.69 weighted goals scored + 1.97 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.83 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
JEF United Chiba: (1.29 weighted goals scored + 1.16 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.22 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Fagiano Okayama recent form
1.60 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consadole SapporoJ-League Cup | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Kyoto SangaJ1 League | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| UrawaJ1 League | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Sanfrecce HiroshimaJ1 League | Home | 3–2 | Won | |
| JEF United ChibaJ1 League | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Nagoya GrampusJ1 League | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Beluga Rosso IwamiEmperor Cup | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| Tokyo VerdyJ1 League | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| V-varen NagasakiJ1 League | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Cerezo OsakaJ1 League | Away | 1–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Fagiano Okayama’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
JEF United Chiba recent form
1.10 goals scored and 1.90 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jubilo IwataJ-League Cup | Away | 2–4 | Lost | |
| Shimizu S-pulseJ1 League | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Tokyo VerdyJ1 League | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Kamatamare SanukiJ-League Cup | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Gamba OsakaJ1 League | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Fagiano OkayamaJ1 League | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Kawasaki FrontaleJ1 League | Away | 2–4 | Lost | |
| Azul Claro NumazuEmperor Cup | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| FC TokyoJ1 League | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Machida ZelviaJ1 League | Home | 0–4 | Lost |
Scores shown from JEF United Chiba’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Emperor Cup — current table
No league table is currently available for this competition and season. Some cup rounds and friendlies do not have standings.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.