Youth Championship · Regular Season - 25
Fakel U19vsChertanovo U20
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 9 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Youth Championship
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Fakel U19 vs Chertanovo U20: match review and analysis
Fakel U19 vs Chertanovo U20 in Youth Championship on 9 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Fakel U19 recorded 0 wins, 4 draws and 6 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 6 and conceding 18. Chertanovo U20 recorded 2 wins, 1 draws and 7 losses, with 14 scored and 23 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Fakel U19 | Chertanovo U20 |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 0 | 2 |
| Draws | 4 | 1 |
| Losses | 6 | 7 |
| Goals scored | 6 | 14 |
| Goals conceded | 18 | 23 |
| Over 1.5 games | 6 | 9 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Fakel U19: (0.60 weighted goals scored + 2.45 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.52 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Chertanovo U20: (1.66 weighted goals scored + 1.90 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.78 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Fakel U19 recent form
0.60 goals scored and 1.80 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CSKA Moskva U19Youth Championship | Away | 1–6 | Lost | |
| Akademiya Konoplev U20Youth Championship | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Dinamo Moskva U19Youth Championship | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Nizhny Novgorod U19Youth Championship | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Almaz Antey U19Youth Championship | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Lokomotiv Moskva U19Youth Championship | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Spartak Moskva U19Youth Championship | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Dynamo Makhachkala U19Youth Championship | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Rubin Kazan U20Youth Championship | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Zenit U19Youth Championship | Home | 1–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Fakel U19’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Chertanovo U20 recent form
1.40 goals scored and 2.30 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dinamo Moskva U19Youth Championship | Home | 4–2 | Won | |
| Nizhny Novgorod U19Youth Championship | Away | 3–4 | Lost | |
| Almaz Antey U19Youth Championship | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Lokomotiv Moskva U19Youth Championship | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Spartak Moskva U19Youth Championship | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Dynamo Makhachkala U19Youth Championship | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Rubin Kazan U20Youth Championship | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Ural U20Youth Championship | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Zenit U19Youth Championship | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Rostov U19Youth Championship | Away | 2–2 | Draw |
Scores shown from Chertanovo U20’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Youth Championship — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Chertanovo U20 are ranked 12 in Youth Championship, with 23 points from 24 games.
Fakel U19 are ranked 16 in Youth Championship, with 13 points from 24 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CSKA Moskva U19 | 24 | 18 | 2 | 4 | 77 | 33 | 44 | 56 |
| 2 | Krasnodar U19 | 24 | 17 | 2 | 5 | 72 | 36 | 36 | 53 |
| 3 | Zenit U19 | 24 | 16 | 3 | 5 | 68 | 32 | 36 | 51 |
| 4 | Rodina Moscow U19 | 24 | 15 | 3 | 6 | 62 | 31 | 31 | 48 |
| 5 | Lokomotiv Moskva U19 | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 59 | 37 | 22 | 47 |
| 6 | Akademiya Konoplev U20 | 24 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 51 | 37 | 14 | 44 |
| 7 | Almaz Antey U19 | 24 | 11 | 5 | 8 | 46 | 51 | -5 | 38 |
| 8 | Spartak Moskva U19 | 24 | 7 | 10 | 7 | 38 | 41 | -3 | 31 |
| 9 | Rostov U19 | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 36 | 42 | -6 | 31 |
| 10 | Dinamo Moskva U19 | 24 | 9 | 2 | 13 | 39 | 46 | -7 | 29 |
| 11 | Dynamo Makhachkala U19 | 24 | 7 | 3 | 14 | 32 | 56 | -24 | 24 |
| 12 | Chertanovo U20 | 24 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 33 | 55 | -22 | 23 |
| 13 | Ural U20 | 24 | 6 | 4 | 14 | 29 | 51 | -22 | 22 |
| 14 | Nizhny Novgorod U19 | 24 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 29 | 64 | -35 | 19 |
| 15 | Rubin Kazan U20 | 24 | 4 | 3 | 17 | 26 | 59 | -33 | 15 |
| 16 | Fakel U19 | 24 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 25 | 51 | -26 | 13 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.