Friendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies
Fakel1–0FC Vitebsk
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 3 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Away or drawLost
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Friendlies Clubs
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 1–0
- 90-minute score
- 1–0
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Fakel vs FC Vitebsk: match review and analysis
Fakel vs FC Vitebsk in Friendlies Clubs on 3 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 1–0. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Away or draw.
Fakel recorded 0 wins, 4 draws and 6 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 5 and conceding 12. FC Vitebsk recorded 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses, with 15 scored and 8 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Fakel | FC Vitebsk |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 0 | 5 |
| Draws | 4 | 3 |
| Losses | 6 | 2 |
| Goals scored | 5 | 15 |
| Goals conceded | 12 | 8 |
| Over 1.5 games | 4 | 6 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Fakel: (0.61 weighted goals scored + 0.88 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.75 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
FC Vitebsk: (1.51 weighted goals scored + 1.24 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.37 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the away side avoiding defeat. An away win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Fakel recent form
0.50 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. 4 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spartak MoscowPremier League | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| BaltikaPremier League | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| FC RostovPremier League | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| FC KrasnodarCup | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| ZenitPremier League | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| FC OrenburgPremier League | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| AkhmatCup | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| CSKA MoscowPremier League | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| AkhmatPremier League | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| DynamoCup | Home | 0–1 | Lost |
Scores shown from Fakel’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
FC Vitebsk recent form
1.50 goals scored and 0.80 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Torpedo ZhodinoPremier League | Home | 6–0 | Won | |
| BelshinaPremier League | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Slavia MozyrPremier League | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| NaftanPremier League | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| FC MinskPremier League | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Bate BorisovPremier League | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| NemanPremier League | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| FC GomelPremier League | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| FC GomelCoppa | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Ostrovets FCCoppa | Away | 2–2 | Draw |
Scores shown from FC Vitebsk’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Friendlies Clubs — current table
No league table is currently available for this competition and season. Some cup rounds and friendlies do not have standings.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.