Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 8
85′
Famalicao1–4Alverca
RealScored · Live match
Match prediction · 12 October 2026
This match has finished. Go back home for the latest fixtures →
THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or awayBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Primeira Liga
- Venue
- Estadio Municipal 22 de Junho
- Status
- Second Half
- Score
- 1–4
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups are not available yet. Confirmed selections will appear here when available.
RealScored match analysis
Famalicao vs Alverca: match review and analysis
Famalicao vs Alverca in Primeira Liga on 12 October 2026 is in progress. The latest saved score is 1–4. Scores and match status refresh automatically.
RealScored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or away.
Famalicao recorded 1 wins, 6 draws and 3 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 11 and conceding 10. Alverca recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses, with 12 scored and 12 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Famalicao | Alverca |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 1 | 4 |
| Draws | 6 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 4 |
| Goals scored | 11 | 12 |
| Goals conceded | 10 | 12 |
| Over 1.5 games | 6 | 7 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Famalicao: (1.22 weighted goals scored + 1.30 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.26 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Alverca: (1.29 weighted goals scored + 1.00 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.15 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours a decisive result. Either side winning satisfies this selection; a draw does not. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Famalicao recent form
1.10 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NacionalPrimeira Liga | Away | 4–0 | Won | |
| Sporting CPPrimeira Liga | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| EstrelaPrimeira Liga | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| GIL VicentePrimeira Liga | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Santa ClaraPrimeira Liga | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| MaritimoPrimeira Liga | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| EstorilPrimeira Liga | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| ComoComo Cup | Home | 2–3 | Lost | |
| LensComo Cup | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Crystal PalaceComo Cup | Home | 0–0 | Draw |
Scores shown from Famalicao’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Alverca recent form
1.20 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rio AvePrimeira Liga | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| NacionalPrimeira Liga | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| SC BragaPrimeira Liga | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Santa ClaraPrimeira Liga | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Sporting CPPrimeira Liga | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| EstrelaPrimeira Liga | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| FC PortoPrimeira Liga | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Sporting CP BFriendlies Clubs | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| MafraFriendlies Clubs | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| EstorilFriendlies Clubs | Home | 2–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Alverca’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Primeira Liga — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Alverca are ranked 10 in Primeira Liga, with 8 points from 7 games.
Famalicao are ranked 13 in Primeira Liga, with 7 points from 7 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 4 | 16 | 24 |
| 2 | Benfica | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 7 | 17 | 19 |
| 3 | Sporting CP | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 18 |
| 4 | Santa Clara | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 18 |
| 5 | Arouca | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 14 |
| 6 | Academico Viseu | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 14 |
| 7 | GIL Vicente | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 11 |
| 8 | SC Braga | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 11 |
| 9 | Estrela | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 10 |
| 10 | Alverca | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 8 |
| 11 | Maritimo | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 8 |
| 12 | Moreirense | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 15 | -7 | 8 |
| 13 | Famalicao | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 7 |
| 14 | Rio Ave | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 7 |
| 15 | Vitória SC | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 5 |
| 16 | Nacional | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 18 | -9 | 4 |
| 17 | Casa Pia | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 17 | -14 | 4 |
| 18 | Estoril | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 12 | -8 | 2 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.