National League - South · National League South - 11
Farnham TownvsSalisbury
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 10 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- National League - South
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Farnham Town vs Salisbury: match review and analysis
Farnham Town vs Salisbury in National League - South on 10 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Farnham Town recorded 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 18 and conceding 15. Salisbury recorded 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 22 scored and 8 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Farnham Town | Salisbury |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 5 | 6 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
| Goals scored | 18 | 22 |
| Goals conceded | 15 | 8 |
| Over 1.5 games | 9 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Farnham Town: (1.90 weighted goals scored + 0.68 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.29 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Salisbury: (2.26 weighted goals scored + 1.66 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.96 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Farnham Town recent form
1.80 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Truro CityNational League - South | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Weston-super-MareNational League - South | Home | 3–2 | Won | |
| Cirencester TownFA Cup | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Cirencester TownFA Cup | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Folkestone InvictaNational League - South | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Hemel Hempstead TownNational League - South | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| TorquayNational League - South | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| HorshamNational League - South | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Billericay TownNational League - South | Home | 2–4 | Lost | |
| Slough TownNational League - South | Away | 1–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Farnham Town’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Salisbury recent form
2.20 goals scored and 0.80 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dulwich HamletFA Cup | Home | 5–0 | Won | |
| Folkestone InvictaNational League - South | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Taunton TownFA Cup | Home | 4–1 | Won | |
| Truro CityNational League - South | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Ebbsfleet UnitedNational League - South | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Slough TownNational League - South | Home | 5–1 | Won | |
| Chelmsford CityNational League - South | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Billericay TownNational League - South | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Maidstone UtdNational League - South | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Hemel Hempstead TownNational League - South | Home | 1–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Salisbury’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
National League - South — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Salisbury are ranked 3 in National League N/S: South, with 18 points from 10 games.
Farnham Town are ranked 7 in National League N/S: South, with 17 points from 10 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maidstone Utd | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 19 |
| 2 | Dagenham & Redbridge | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 19 |
| 3 | Salisbury | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 7 | 11 | 18 |
| 4 | Truro City | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 18 |
| 5 | Billericay Town | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 18 |
| 6 | Weston-super-Mare | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 17 |
| 7 | Farnham Town | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 17 |
| 8 | Dover | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 17 |
| 9 | Dorking Wanderers | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 22 | 16 | 6 | 16 |
| 10 | Tonbridge Angels | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 14 |
| 11 | Maidenhead | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 13 |
| 12 | Hemel Hempstead Town | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 13 |
| 13 | Torquay | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 13 |
| 14 | Ebbsfleet United | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 12 |
| 15 | Folkestone Invicta | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 12 |
| 16 | Chelmsford City | 9 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 11 |
| 17 | Horsham | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 11 |
| 18 | Farnborough | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 11 |
| 19 | Chesham United | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 10 |
| 20 | AFC Totton | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 15 | -7 | 10 |
| 21 | Braintree | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 10 |
| 22 | Hampton & Richmond | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 24 | -13 | 8 |
| 23 | Walton & Hersham | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 27 | -18 | 5 |
| 24 | Slough Town | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 10 | 24 | -14 | 4 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.