Primera Division · Apertura - 14
FAS1–1Inca Aruba
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 5 October 2026
Match Finished
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or drawWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Primera Division
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 1–1
- 90-minute score
- 1–1
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
FAS vs Inca Aruba: match review and analysis
FAS vs Inca Aruba in Primera Division on 5 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 1–1. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or draw.
FAS recorded 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 18 and conceding 10. Inca Aruba recorded 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses, with 10 scored and 13 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | FAS | Inca Aruba |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 6 | 4 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 2 | 3 |
| Goals scored | 18 | 10 |
| Goals conceded | 10 | 13 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 7 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
FAS: (1.91 weighted goals scored + 1.37 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.64 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Inca Aruba: (1.10 weighted goals scored + 0.92 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.01 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the home side avoiding defeat. A home win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
FAS recent form
1.80 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Municipal LimeñoPrimera Division | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| CacahuatiquePrimera Division | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| InterPrimera Division | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Fuerte San FranciscoPrimera Division | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| FirpoPrimera Division | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| CS CartaginesCONCACAF Central American Cup | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| ÁguilaPrimera Division | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| MunicipalCONCACAF Central American Cup | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| PlatensePrimera Division | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| VerdesCONCACAF Central American Cup | Home | 4–1 | Won |
Scores shown from FAS’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Inca Aruba recent form
1.00 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Municipal LimeñoPrimera Division | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| AlianzaPrimera Division | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Fuerte San FranciscoPrimera Division | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| ÁguilaPrimera Division | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Atletico BalboaPrimera Division | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Isidro MetapánPrimera Division | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| CacahuatiquePrimera Division | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| InterPrimera Division | Away | 1–4 | Lost | |
| FirpoPrimera Division | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| PlatensePrimera Division | Away | 0–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Inca Aruba’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Primera Division — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
FAS are ranked 3 in Primera Division: Apertura, with 24 points from 12 games.
Inca Aruba are ranked 9 in Primera Division: Apertura, with 16 points from 14 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Isidro Metapán | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 26 |
| 2 | Firpo | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 23 | 9 | 14 | 25 |
| 3 | FAS | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 24 |
| 4 | Inter | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 22 |
| 5 | Águila | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 20 |
| 6 | Alianza | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 18 |
| 7 | Municipal Limeño | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 17 |
| 8 | Platense | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 16 |
| 9 | Inca Aruba | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 16 |
| 10 | Atletico Balboa | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 13 |
| 11 | Cacahuatique | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 11 |
| 12 | Fuerte San Francisco | 14 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 23 | -14 | 9 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.