Primera División RFEF - Group 2 · Group 2 - 6
FC Cartagena4–1Águilas
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 3 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or drawWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Primera División RFEF - Group 2
- Venue
- Estadio Municipal Cartagonova
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 4–1
- 90-minute score
- 4–1
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
FC Cartagena vs Águilas: match review and analysis
FC Cartagena vs Águilas in Primera División RFEF - Group 2 on 3 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 4–1. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or draw.
FC Cartagena recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 12 and conceding 13. Águilas recorded 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses, with 7 scored and 8 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | FC Cartagena | Águilas |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 3 | 3 |
| Draws | 3 | 4 |
| Losses | 4 | 3 |
| Goals scored | 12 | 7 |
| Goals conceded | 13 | 8 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 4 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
FC Cartagena: (1.15 weighted goals scored + 0.89 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.02 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Águilas: (0.64 weighted goals scored + 1.09 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.86 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the home side avoiding defeat. A home win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
FC Cartagena recent form
1.20 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ZaragozaPrimera División RFEF - Group 2 | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Rayo MajadahondaPrimera División RFEF - Group 2 | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| GimnasticPrimera División RFEF - Group 2 | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| AlgecirasPrimera División RFEF - Group 2 | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| Elche IIFriendlies Clubs | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| OrihuelaFriendlies Clubs | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| Johor Darul Takzim FCFriendlies Clubs | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Real Betis IIPrimera División RFEF - Group 2 | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| IbizaPrimera División RFEF - Group 2 | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| AlcorconPrimera División RFEF - Group 2 | Home | 2–1 | Won |
Scores shown from FC Cartagena’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Águilas recent form
0.70 goals scored and 0.80 conceded per game. 4 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HérculesPrimera División RFEF - Group 2 | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| AlgecirasPrimera División RFEF - Group 2 | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Real Madrid IIPrimera División RFEF - Group 2 | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Sant AndreuPrimera División RFEF - Group 2 | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| AlcorconPrimera División RFEF - Group 2 | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Lorca DeportivaFriendlies Clubs | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| AlmeriaFriendlies Clubs | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| PoblenseSegunda División RFEF - Play-offs | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| PoblenseSegunda División RFEF - Play-offs | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| UteboSegunda División RFEF - Play-offs | Home | 2–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Águilas’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Primera División RFEF - Group 2 — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
FC Cartagena are ranked 5 in Segunda B: Group 2, with 11 points from 6 games.
Águilas are ranked 16 in Segunda B: Group 2, with 5 points from 6 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zaragoza | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 15 |
| 2 | Villarreal II | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 13 |
| 3 | Alcorcon | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 12 |
| 4 | Real Murcia | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 12 |
| 5 | FC Cartagena | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 11 |
| 6 | Real Jaén | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 11 |
| 7 | Hércules | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 10 |
| 8 | Antequera | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 9 |
| 9 | Ibiza | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 9 |
| 10 | Huesca | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 9 |
| 11 | Atlético Madrid II | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 8 |
| 12 | Real Madrid II | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 8 |
| 13 | Sant Andreu | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 8 |
| 14 | Gimnastic | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 7 |
| 15 | Algeciras | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 7 |
| 16 | Águilas | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 5 |
| 17 | Rayo Majadahonda | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 4 |
| 18 | Europa Fc | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 4 |
| 19 | Teruel | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 12 | -10 | 2 |
| 20 | Juventud Torremolinos | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 16 | -10 | 1 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.