National Division · Regular Season - 9
FC Differdange 03vsRésidence Walferdange
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 11 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- National Division
- Venue
- Stade Municipal de la Ville de Differdange
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
FC Differdange 03 vs Résidence Walferdange: match review and analysis
FC Differdange 03 vs Résidence Walferdange in National Division on 11 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
FC Differdange 03 recorded 8 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 25 and conceding 9. Résidence Walferdange recorded 5 wins, 1 draws and 4 losses, with 20 scored and 16 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | FC Differdange 03 | Résidence Walferdange |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 8 | 5 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 4 |
| Goals scored | 25 | 20 |
| Goals conceded | 9 | 16 |
| Over 1.5 games | 9 | 9 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
FC Differdange 03: (2.70 weighted goals scored + 1.37 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 2.04 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Résidence Walferdange: (2.20 weighted goals scored + 0.61 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.41 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
FC Differdange 03 recent form
2.50 goals scored and 0.90 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeunesse UseldangeCup | Away | 5–1 | Won | |
| Swift HesperangeNational Division | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| Etzella EttelbruckNational Division | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| UN Kaerjeng 97National Division | Home | 4–1 | Won | |
| US HostertNational Division | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Racing FC Union LuxembourgNational Division | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| WiltzNational Division | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| US RumelangeNational Division | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| US Mondorf-les-bainsNational Division | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| IlvesUEFA Europa Conference League | Away | 1–3 | Lost |
Scores shown from FC Differdange 03’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Résidence Walferdange recent form
2.00 goals scored and 1.60 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GrevenmacherCup | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| US Mondorf-les-bainsNational Division | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Swift HesperangeNational Division | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
| UNA StrassenNational Division | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Etzella EttelbruckNational Division | Away | 5–0 | Won | |
| Atert BissenNational Division | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| UN Kaerjeng 97National Division | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Progres NiederkornNational Division | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| US HostertNational Division | Home | 3–2 | Won | |
| RM Hamm BenficaFriendlies Clubs | Home | 2–4 | Lost |
Scores shown from Résidence Walferdange’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
National Division — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
FC Differdange 03 are ranked 2 in BGL League, with 21 points from 8 games.
Résidence Walferdange are ranked 8 in BGL League, with 15 points from 8 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | UNA Strassen | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 2 | 15 | 24 |
| 2 | FC Differdange 03 | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 5 | 14 | 21 |
| 3 | US Mondorf-les-bains | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 18 |
| 4 | Racing FC Union Luxembourg | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 8 | 13 | 17 |
| 5 | Progres Niederkorn | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 16 |
| 6 | UN Kaerjeng 97 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 15 |
| 7 | Atert Bissen | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 15 |
| 8 | Résidence Walferdange | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 15 |
| 9 | US Hostert | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 11 |
| 10 | AS Jeunesse Esch | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 7 |
| 11 | F91 Dudelange | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 15 | -7 | 7 |
| 12 | US Rumelange | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 8 | 23 | -15 | 6 |
| 13 | Victoria Rosport | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 20 | -9 | 5 |
| 14 | Etzella Ettelbruck | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 5 |
| 15 | Wiltz | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 4 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.