Premier League · Regular Season - 24
FC Dnepr MogilevvsDinamo Minsk
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 11 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Away or drawBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Premier League
- Venue
- Spartak Stadium
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
FC Dnepr Mogilev vs Dinamo Minsk: match review and analysis
FC Dnepr Mogilev vs Dinamo Minsk in Premier League on 11 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Away or draw.
FC Dnepr Mogilev recorded 2 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 13 and conceding 16. Dinamo Minsk recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses, with 14 scored and 5 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | FC Dnepr Mogilev | Dinamo Minsk |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 2 | 4 |
| Draws | 5 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 4 |
| Goals scored | 13 | 14 |
| Goals conceded | 16 | 5 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 4 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
FC Dnepr Mogilev: (1.17 weighted goals scored + 0.47 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.82 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Dinamo Minsk: (1.36 weighted goals scored + 1.58 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.47 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the away side avoiding defeat. An away win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
FC Dnepr Mogilev recent form
1.30 goals scored and 1.60 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dinamo BrestPremier League | Away | 2–4 | Lost | |
| ML VitebskPremier League | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| BaranovichiPremier League | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| FC Isloch Minsk R.Premier League | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Torpedo ZhodinoPremier League | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| BelshinaPremier League | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Slavia MozyrPremier League | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| NaftanPremier League | Home | 3–3 | Draw | |
| Torpedo ZhodinoCoppa | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| OsipovichyCoppa | Away | 3–1 | Won |
Scores shown from FC Dnepr Mogilev’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Dinamo Minsk recent form
1.40 goals scored and 0.50 conceded per game. 4 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Uni MinskFriendlies Clubs | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| Bate BorisovPremier League | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Dinamo BrestPremier League | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| ML VitebskPremier League | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| NaftanPremier League | Home | 5–1 | Won | |
| BaranovichiPremier League | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| FC Isloch Minsk R.Premier League | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Torpedo ZhodinoPremier League | Home | 4–0 | Won | |
| SC BragaUEFA Europa Conference League | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| SC BragaUEFA Europa Conference League | Away | 0–1 | Lost |
Scores shown from Dinamo Minsk’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Premier League — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Dinamo Minsk are ranked 3 in Premier League, with 43 points from 21 games.
FC Dnepr Mogilev are ranked 15 in Premier League, with 16 points from 23 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Isloch Minsk R. | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 37 | 18 | 19 | 45 |
| 2 | ML Vitebsk | 21 | 12 | 8 | 1 | 42 | 17 | 25 | 44 |
| 3 | Dinamo Minsk | 21 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 43 |
| 4 | Dinamo Brest | 24 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 39 | 23 | 16 | 43 |
| 5 | FC Gomel | 23 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 33 | 18 | 15 | 39 |
| 6 | Neman | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 20 | 6 | 37 |
| 7 | FC Vitebsk | 23 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 28 | 21 | 7 | 36 |
| 8 | FC Minsk | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 34 |
| 9 | Torpedo Zhodino | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 28 | 29 | -1 | 27 |
| 10 | Slavia Mozyr | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 26 | -3 | 25 |
| 11 | Baranovichi | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 24 | 38 | -14 | 25 |
| 12 | Arsenal | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 24 | 42 | -18 | 23 |
| 13 | Belshina | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 22 | 36 | -14 | 21 |
| 14 | Bate Borisov | 22 | 3 | 9 | 10 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 18 |
| 15 | FC Dnepr Mogilev | 23 | 2 | 10 | 11 | 20 | 36 | -16 | 16 |
| 16 | Naftan | 23 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 20 | 54 | -34 | 14 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.