Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 9
FC Eindhoven2–2De Graafschap
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 3 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Eerste Divisie
- Venue
- Jan Louwers Stadion
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 2–2
- 90-minute score
- 2–2
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
FC Eindhoven vs De Graafschap: match review and analysis
FC Eindhoven vs De Graafschap in Eerste Divisie on 3 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 2–2. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
FC Eindhoven recorded 3 wins, 1 draws and 6 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 13 and conceding 21. De Graafschap recorded 3 wins, 1 draws and 6 losses, with 14 scored and 27 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | FC Eindhoven | De Graafschap |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 3 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 6 | 6 |
| Goals scored | 13 | 14 |
| Goals conceded | 21 | 27 |
| Over 1.5 games | 7 | 9 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
FC Eindhoven: (1.60 weighted goals scored + 2.45 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 2.03 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
De Graafschap: (1.23 weighted goals scored + 2.07 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.65 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
FC Eindhoven recent form
1.30 goals scored and 2.10 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NAC BredaEerste Divisie | Away | 2–4 | Lost | |
| EmmenEerste Divisie | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| DordrechtEerste Divisie | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Jong UtrechtEerste Divisie | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| HeraclesEerste Divisie | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Den BoschEerste Divisie | Away | 2–5 | Lost | |
| MVVEerste Divisie | Home | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Jong AZEerste Divisie | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| SK BeverenFriendlies Clubs | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| PSV EindhovenFriendlies Clubs | Away | 0–3 | Lost |
Scores shown from FC Eindhoven’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
De Graafschap recent form
1.40 goals scored and 2.70 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Den BoschEerste Divisie | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| NAC BredaEerste Divisie | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| EmmenEerste Divisie | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| HeraclesEerste Divisie | Away | 0–5 | Lost | |
| Almere City FCEerste Divisie | Home | 1–4 | Lost | |
| VVV VenloEerste Divisie | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Jong AZEerste Divisie | Home | 2–5 | Lost | |
| Helmond SportEerste Divisie | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| ExcelsiorFriendlies Clubs | Home | 1–5 | Lost | |
| KifisiaFriendlies Clubs | Home | 4–2 | Won |
Scores shown from De Graafschap’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Eerste Divisie — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
FC Eindhoven are ranked 13 in Eerste Divisie: Regular season, with 11 points from 9 games.
De Graafschap are ranked 19 in Eerste Divisie: Regular season, with 8 points from 9 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heracles | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 28 | 12 | 16 | 22 |
| 2 | Almere City FC | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 19 |
| 3 | VVV Venlo | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 18 |
| 4 | Emmen | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 16 |
| 5 | MVV | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 16 |
| 6 | Roda | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 15 |
| 7 | Waalwijk | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 14 |
| 8 | Vitesse | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 14 |
| 9 | NAC Breda | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 14 |
| 10 | Jong AZ | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 17 | 5 | 13 |
| 11 | FC Volendam | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 17 | 3 | 12 |
| 12 | Jong PSV U21 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 12 |
| 13 | FC Eindhoven | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 11 |
| 14 | Helmond Sport | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 9 |
| 15 | FC OSS | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 9 |
| 16 | Den Bosch | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 8 |
| 17 | Jong Ajax | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 22 | -9 | 8 |
| 18 | Dordrecht | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 8 |
| 19 | De Graafschap | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 8 |
| 20 | Jong Utrecht | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 7 |
FC Eindhoven are ranked 13 in Eerste Divisie: Period 1, with 11 points from 9 games.
De Graafschap are ranked 19 in Eerste Divisie: Period 1, with 8 points from 9 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heracles | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 28 | 12 | 16 | 22 |
| 2 | Almere City FC | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 19 |
| 3 | VVV Venlo | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 18 |
| 4 | Emmen | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 16 |
| 5 | MVV | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 16 |
| 6 | Roda | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 15 |
| 7 | Waalwijk | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 14 |
| 8 | Vitesse | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 14 |
| 9 | NAC Breda | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 14 |
| 10 | Jong AZ | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 17 | 5 | 13 |
| 11 | FC Volendam | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 17 | 3 | 12 |
| 12 | Jong PSV U21 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 12 |
| 13 | FC Eindhoven | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 11 |
| 14 | Helmond Sport | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 9 |
| 15 | FC OSS | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 9 |
| 16 | Den Bosch | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 8 |
| 17 | Jong Ajax | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 22 | -9 | 8 |
| 18 | Dordrecht | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 8 |
| 19 | De Graafschap | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 8 |
| 20 | Jong Utrecht | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 7 |
De Graafschap are ranked 1 in Eerste Divisie: Period 2, with 0 points from 0 games.
FC Eindhoven are ranked 5 in Eerste Divisie: Period 2, with 0 points from 0 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | De Graafschap | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | VVV Venlo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Den Bosch | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Dordrecht | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | FC Eindhoven | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Emmen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Helmond Sport | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | MVV | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Almere City FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | FC OSS | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | FC Volendam | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Waalwijk | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | NAC Breda | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | Roda | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | Vitesse | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | Heracles | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | Jong PSV U21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | Jong Ajax | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 | Jong AZ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 | Jong Utrecht | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
De Graafschap are ranked 1 in Eerste Divisie: Period 3, with 0 points from 0 games.
FC Eindhoven are ranked 5 in Eerste Divisie: Period 3, with 0 points from 0 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | De Graafschap | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | VVV Venlo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Den Bosch | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Dordrecht | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | FC Eindhoven | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Emmen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Helmond Sport | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | MVV | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Almere City FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | FC OSS | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | FC Volendam | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Waalwijk | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | NAC Breda | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | Roda | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | Vitesse | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | Heracles | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | Jong PSV U21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | Jong Ajax | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 | Jong AZ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 | Jong Utrecht | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
De Graafschap are ranked 1 in Eerste Divisie: Period 4, with 0 points from 0 games.
FC Eindhoven are ranked 5 in Eerste Divisie: Period 4, with 0 points from 0 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | De Graafschap | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | VVV Venlo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Den Bosch | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Dordrecht | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | FC Eindhoven | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Emmen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Helmond Sport | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | MVV | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Almere City FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | FC OSS | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | FC Volendam | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Waalwijk | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | NAC Breda | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | Roda | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | Vitesse | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | Heracles | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | Jong PSV U21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | Jong Ajax | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 | Jong AZ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 | Jong Utrecht | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.