Premier League · Regular Season - 24
FC GomelvsML Vitebsk
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 11 October 2026
Not Started
This match has finished. Go back home for the latest fixtures →
THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or awayBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Premier League
- Venue
- Central Stadion
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
FC Gomel vs ML Vitebsk: match review and analysis
FC Gomel vs ML Vitebsk in Premier League on 11 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or away.
FC Gomel recorded 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 14 and conceding 6. ML Vitebsk recorded 5 wins, 4 draws and 1 losses, with 15 scored and 6 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | FC Gomel | ML Vitebsk |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 5 | 5 |
| Draws | 2 | 4 |
| Losses | 3 | 1 |
| Goals scored | 14 | 15 |
| Goals conceded | 6 | 6 |
| Over 1.5 games | 5 | 6 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
FC Gomel: (1.44 weighted goals scored + 0.69 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.07 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
ML Vitebsk: (1.65 weighted goals scored + 0.52 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.09 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours a decisive result. Either side winning satisfies this selection; a draw does not. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
FC Gomel recent form
1.40 goals scored and 0.60 conceded per game. 5 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BelshinaFriendlies Clubs | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| BaranovichiPremier League | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| FC Isloch Minsk R.Premier League | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Torpedo ZhodinoPremier League | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| BelshinaPremier League | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Slavia MozyrPremier League | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| NaftanPremier League | Home | 6–0 | Won | |
| FC MinskPremier League | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| FC VitebskPremier League | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| FC VitebskCoppa | Home | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from FC Gomel’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
ML Vitebsk recent form
1.50 goals scored and 0.60 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ArsenalPremier League | Home | 5–1 | Won | |
| FC Dnepr MogilevPremier League | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Dinamo MinskPremier League | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| BelshinaPremier League | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Dinamo BrestPremier League | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| Bate BorisovPremier League | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| BaranovichiPremier League | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Borac Banja LukaUEFA Europa Conference League | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Borac Banja LukaUEFA Europa Conference League | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| SutjeskaUEFA Europa Conference League | Away | 2–1 | Won |
Scores shown from ML Vitebsk’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Premier League — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
ML Vitebsk are ranked 2 in Premier League, with 44 points from 21 games.
FC Gomel are ranked 5 in Premier League, with 39 points from 23 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Isloch Minsk R. | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 37 | 18 | 19 | 45 |
| 2 | ML Vitebsk | 21 | 12 | 8 | 1 | 42 | 17 | 25 | 44 |
| 3 | Dinamo Minsk | 21 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 43 |
| 4 | Dinamo Brest | 24 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 39 | 23 | 16 | 43 |
| 5 | FC Gomel | 23 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 33 | 18 | 15 | 39 |
| 6 | Neman | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 20 | 6 | 37 |
| 7 | FC Vitebsk | 23 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 28 | 21 | 7 | 36 |
| 8 | FC Minsk | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 34 |
| 9 | Torpedo Zhodino | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 28 | 29 | -1 | 27 |
| 10 | Slavia Mozyr | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 26 | -3 | 25 |
| 11 | Baranovichi | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 24 | 38 | -14 | 25 |
| 12 | Arsenal | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 24 | 42 | -18 | 23 |
| 13 | Belshina | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 22 | 36 | -14 | 21 |
| 14 | Bate Borisov | 22 | 3 | 9 | 10 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 18 |
| 15 | FC Dnepr Mogilev | 23 | 2 | 10 | 11 | 20 | 36 | -16 | 16 |
| 16 | Naftan | 23 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 20 | 54 | -34 | 14 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.