Meistriliiga · Regular Season - 30
FC Levadia TallinnvsPaide
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 11 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Meistriliiga
- Venue
- A. Le Coq Arena
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
FC Levadia Tallinn vs Paide: match review and analysis
FC Levadia Tallinn vs Paide in Meistriliiga on 11 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
FC Levadia Tallinn recorded 9 wins, 1 draws and 0 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 40 and conceding 5. Paide recorded 5 wins, 1 draws and 4 losses, with 16 scored and 14 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | FC Levadia Tallinn | Paide |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 9 | 5 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 0 | 4 |
| Goals scored | 40 | 16 |
| Goals conceded | 5 | 14 |
| Over 1.5 games | 10 | 10 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
FC Levadia Tallinn: (4.73 weighted goals scored + 1.29 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 3.01 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Paide: (1.73 weighted goals scored + 0.36 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.04 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
FC Levadia Tallinn recent form
4.00 goals scored and 0.50 conceded per game. 10 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KeilaCup | Home | 10–0 | Won | |
| Trans NarvaMeistriliiga | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| TammekaMeistriliiga | Home | 6–0 | Won | |
| VaprusMeistriliiga | Home | 4–0 | Won | |
| KuressaareMeistriliiga | Home | 4–0 | Won | |
| PaideMeistriliiga | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Kalju NommeMeistriliiga | Away | 3–2 | Won | |
| PaideCup | Home | 4–1 | Won | |
| Trans NarvaMeistriliiga | Home | 4–0 | Won | |
| LaagriMeistriliiga | Away | 2–1 | Won |
Scores shown from FC Levadia Tallinn’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Paide recent form
1.60 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. 10 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nõmme UnitedMeistriliiga | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| VaprusMeistriliiga | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| LaagriMeistriliiga | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| TammekaMeistriliiga | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| FC Levadia TallinnMeistriliiga | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Flora TallinnMeistriliiga | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| FC Levadia TallinnCup | Away | 1–4 | Lost | |
| Nõmme UnitedMeistriliiga | Home | 4–1 | Won | |
| Trans NarvaMeistriliiga | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Rapid ViennaUEFA Europa Conference League | Away | 0–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Paide’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Meistriliiga — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
FC Levadia Tallinn are ranked 1 in Meistriliiga, with 72 points from 29 games.
Paide are ranked 3 in Meistriliiga, with 51 points from 29 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Levadia Tallinn | 29 | 22 | 6 | 1 | 81 | 21 | 60 | 72 |
| 2 | Flora Tallinn | 29 | 18 | 1 | 10 | 59 | 39 | 20 | 55 |
| 3 | Paide | 29 | 15 | 6 | 8 | 48 | 36 | 12 | 51 |
| 4 | Kalju Nomme | 29 | 15 | 5 | 9 | 52 | 27 | 25 | 50 |
| 5 | Tammeka | 29 | 14 | 2 | 13 | 37 | 47 | -10 | 44 |
| 6 | Laagri | 29 | 11 | 2 | 16 | 40 | 47 | -7 | 35 |
| 7 | Vaprus | 29 | 10 | 4 | 15 | 39 | 57 | -18 | 34 |
| 8 | Kuressaare | 29 | 8 | 5 | 16 | 31 | 49 | -18 | 29 |
| 9 | Nõmme United | 29 | 9 | 1 | 19 | 47 | 68 | -21 | 28 |
| 10 | Trans Narva | 29 | 5 | 4 | 20 | 22 | 65 | -43 | 19 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.