3. Liga · Regular Season - 9
FC SaarbrückenvsMSV Duisburg
RealScored · Match preview
Match prediction · 13 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- 3. Liga
- Venue
- Ludwigspark-Stadion
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups are not available yet. Confirmed selections will appear here when available.
RealScored match analysis
FC Saarbrücken vs MSV Duisburg: match review and analysis
FC Saarbrücken vs MSV Duisburg in 3. Liga on 13 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
RealScored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
FC Saarbrücken recorded 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 22 and conceding 14. MSV Duisburg recorded 7 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses, with 23 scored and 12 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | FC Saarbrücken | MSV Duisburg |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 5 | 7 |
| Draws | 3 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
| Goals scored | 22 | 23 |
| Goals conceded | 14 | 12 |
| Over 1.5 games | 7 | 9 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
FC Saarbrücken: (1.97 weighted goals scored + 1.28 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.62 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
MSV Duisburg: (2.42 weighted goals scored + 1.36 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.89 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
FC Saarbrücken recent form
2.20 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fortuna Köln3. Liga | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| NancyFriendlies Clubs | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach3. Liga | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Preußen Münster3. Liga | Away | 3–3 | Draw | |
| FC Ingolstadt 043. Liga | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| SV Meppen3. Liga | Away | 6–1 | Won | |
| Hansa Rostock3. Liga | Home | 2–4 | Lost | |
| Hertha BSCDFB Pokal | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| SSV Jahn Regensburg3. Liga | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Rot-Weiß Essen3. Liga | Home | 5–2 | Won |
Scores shown from FC Saarbrücken’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
MSV Duisburg recent form
2.30 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hoffenheim II3. Liga | Home | 3–2 | Won | |
| SV Wehen3. Liga | Away | 4–1 | Won | |
| Havelse3. Liga | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Fortuna Düsseldorf3. Liga | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| SSV Jahn Regensburg3. Liga | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Würzburger Kickers3. Liga | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| SV ElversbergDFB Pokal | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Verl3. Liga | Away | 4–2 | Won | |
| SV Meppen3. Liga | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| Sparta RotterdamFriendlies Clubs | Away | 0–0 | Draw |
Scores shown from MSV Duisburg’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
3. Liga — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
MSV Duisburg are ranked 1 in 3 Liga, with 21 points from 8 games.
FC Saarbrücken are ranked 5 in 3 Liga, with 14 points from 8 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MSV Duisburg | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 9 | 13 | 21 |
| 2 | FC Viktoria Köln | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 18 |
| 3 | Rot-Weiß Essen | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 15 |
| 4 | Hansa Rostock | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 15 |
| 5 | FC Saarbrücken | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 14 |
| 6 | Waldhof Mannheim | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 13 |
| 7 | Hoffenheim II | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 13 |
| 8 | Preußen Münster | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 12 |
| 9 | Alemannia Aachen | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 11 |
| 10 | Fortuna Düsseldorf | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 11 |
| 11 | Verl | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 11 |
| 12 | Fortuna Köln | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 10 |
| 13 | SSV Jahn Regensburg | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 8 |
| 14 | Stuttgart II | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 8 |
| 15 | FC Ingolstadt 04 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 15 | -6 | 8 |
| 16 | SV Wehen | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 15 | -6 | 8 |
| 17 | SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 14 | -7 | 8 |
| 18 | Würzburger Kickers | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 7 |
| 19 | SV Meppen | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 7 |
| 20 | Havelse | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 4 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.