Emperor Cup · Round of 32
FC Tokyo4–0Shonan Bellmare
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 7 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or drawWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Emperor Cup
- Venue
- Ajinomoto Stadium
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 4–0
- 90-minute score
- 4–0
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
FC Tokyo vs Shonan Bellmare: match review and analysis
FC Tokyo vs Shonan Bellmare in Emperor Cup on 7 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 4–0. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or draw.
FC Tokyo recorded 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 22 and conceding 8. Shonan Bellmare recorded 4 wins, 5 draws and 1 losses, with 13 scored and 11 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | FC Tokyo | Shonan Bellmare |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 7 | 4 |
| Draws | 2 | 5 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
| Goals scored | 22 | 13 |
| Goals conceded | 8 | 11 |
| Over 1.5 games | 9 | 6 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
FC Tokyo: (2.15 weighted goals scored + 1.16 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.65 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Shonan Bellmare: (1.40 weighted goals scored + 0.55 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.98 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the home side avoiding defeat. A home win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
FC Tokyo recent form
2.20 goals scored and 0.80 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ehime FCJ-League Cup | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Nagoya GrampusJ1 League | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Gamba OsakaJ1 League | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Kyoto SangaJ1 League | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Shimizu S-pulseJ1 League | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| V-varen NagasakiJ1 League | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
| Parceiro NaganoEmperor Cup | Home | 6–0 | Won | |
| JEF United ChibaJ1 League | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Vissel KobeJ1 League | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Machida ZelviaJ1 League | Home | 1–5 | Lost |
Scores shown from FC Tokyo’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Shonan Bellmare recent form
1.30 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fujieda MYFCJ2 League | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| ImabariJ2 League | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Blaublitz AkitaJ2 League | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Vanraure HachinoheJ2 League | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Matsumoto YamagaJ-League Cup | Away | 3–3 | Draw | |
| Vegalta SendaiJ2 League | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Omiya ArdijaJ2 League | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Reinmeer AomoriEmperor Cup | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Tegevajaro MiyazakiJ2 League | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Montedio YamagataJ2 League | Home | 1–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Shonan Bellmare’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Emperor Cup — current table
No league table is currently available for this competition and season. Some cup rounds and friendlies do not have standings.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.