Esiliiga A · Regular Season - 32
FCI Levadia IIvsNõmme Kalju II
RealScored · Match preview
Match prediction · 14 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Esiliiga A
- Venue
- Maarjamae staadion
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups are not available yet. Confirmed selections will appear here when available.
RealScored match analysis
FCI Levadia II vs Nõmme Kalju II: match review and analysis
FCI Levadia II vs Nõmme Kalju II in Esiliiga A on 14 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
RealScored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
FCI Levadia II recorded 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 22 and conceding 20. Nõmme Kalju II recorded 1 wins, 0 draws and 9 losses, with 8 scored and 28 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | FCI Levadia II | Nõmme Kalju II |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 5 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 0 |
| Losses | 3 | 9 |
| Goals scored | 22 | 8 |
| Goals conceded | 20 | 28 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 9 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
FCI Levadia II: (2.35 weighted goals scored + 2.60 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 2.47 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Nõmme Kalju II: (0.78 weighted goals scored + 1.64 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.21 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
FCI Levadia II recent form
2.20 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nõmme United IIEsiliiga A | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| FC TallinnEsiliiga A | Away | 5–1 | Won | |
| Tartu WelcoEsiliiga A | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Flora IIEsiliiga A | Home | 6–2 | Won | |
| MaarduEsiliiga A | Away | 2–4 | Lost | |
| FC TallinnEsiliiga A | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Tartu WelcoEsiliiga A | Away | 2–4 | Lost | |
| ViimsiEsiliiga A | Away | 0–5 | Lost | |
| Nõmme United IIEsiliiga A | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| ElvaEsiliiga A | Home | 2–2 | Draw |
Scores shown from FCI Levadia II’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Nõmme Kalju II recent form
0.80 goals scored and 2.80 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nõmme United IIEsiliiga A | Home | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Tartu WelcoEsiliiga A | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Flora IIEsiliiga A | Home | 1–5 | Lost | |
| ElvaEsiliiga A | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| FC TallinnEsiliiga A | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Tartu WelcoEsiliiga A | Home | 2–4 | Lost | |
| Tallinna KalevEsiliiga A | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Nõmme United IIEsiliiga A | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Flora IIEsiliiga A | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| MaarduEsiliiga A | Home | 1–4 | Lost |
Scores shown from Nõmme Kalju II’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Esiliiga A — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
FCI Levadia II are ranked 5 in Esiliiga A, with 44 points from 30 games.
Nõmme Kalju II are ranked 10 in Esiliiga A, with 23 points from 31 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tartu Welco | 31 | 20 | 5 | 6 | 85 | 39 | 46 | 65 |
| 2 | Viimsi | 31 | 16 | 5 | 10 | 58 | 32 | 26 | 53 |
| 3 | Flora II | 31 | 14 | 6 | 11 | 73 | 55 | 18 | 48 |
| 4 | Elva | 31 | 14 | 6 | 11 | 47 | 48 | -1 | 48 |
| 5 | FCI Levadia II | 30 | 14 | 2 | 14 | 61 | 55 | 6 | 44 |
| 6 | Maardu | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 47 | 59 | -12 | 42 |
| 7 | Tallinna Kalev | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 53 | 57 | -4 | 37 |
| 8 | Nõmme United II | 31 | 10 | 6 | 15 | 50 | 63 | -13 | 36 |
| 9 | FC Tallinn | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 41 | 66 | -25 | 35 |
| 10 | Nõmme Kalju II | 31 | 6 | 5 | 20 | 38 | 79 | -41 | 23 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.