Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 · Group 4 - 3
FeraiosvsErmis Exochi
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 11 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Away or drawBased on 2 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Gamma Ethniki - Group 4
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Feraios vs Ermis Exochi: match review and analysis
Feraios vs Ermis Exochi in Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 on 11 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Away or draw.
Feraios recorded 0 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses in the 2 games used here, scoring 0 and conceding 2. Ermis Exochi recorded 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses, with 15 scored and 13 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Feraios | Ermis Exochi |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 2 | 10 |
| Wins | 0 | 4 |
| Draws | 0 | 4 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
| Goals scored | 0 | 15 |
| Goals conceded | 2 | 13 |
| Over 1.5 games | 0 | 6 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Feraios: (0.00 weighted goals scored + 1.44 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.72 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Ermis Exochi: (1.56 weighted goals scored + 1.00 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.28 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the away side avoiding defeat. An away win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 2 GAMES
Feraios recent form
0.00 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. 0 of 2 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethnikos Neou KeramidiouGamma Ethniki - Group 4 | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| TrikalaGamma Ethniki - Group 4 | Home | 0–1 | Lost |
Scores shown from Feraios’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded. Only 2 usable previous results were available.
LAST 10 GAMES
Ermis Exochi recent form
1.50 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ElassonaGamma Ethniki - Group 4 | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| AnthoupoliGamma Ethniki - Group 4 | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| AlexandreiaGamma Ethniki - Group 2 | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Apollon PontouGamma Ethniki - Group 2 | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| VeriaGamma Ethniki - Group 2 | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| PierikosGamma Ethniki - Group 2 | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Ethnikos Neou KeramidiouGamma Ethniki - Group 2 | Away | 2–5 | Lost | |
| Asteras Kard.Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 | Away | 5–2 | Won | |
| Apollon PontouGamma Ethniki - Group 2 | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Akrites SykeonGamma Ethniki - Group 2 | Home | 0–0 | Draw |
Scores shown from Ermis Exochi’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Ermis Exochi are ranked 3 in Group 4, with 4 points from 2 games.
Feraios are ranked 9 in Group 4, with 0 points from 2 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Trikala | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Anthoupoli | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| 3 | Ermis Exochi | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| 4 | Elassona | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Pierikos | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Karitsa | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Sarakinos | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 3 |
| 9 | Feraios | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 |
| 10 | Iraklis Larissa | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 |
| 11 | Digenis Neochori | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 0 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.