Friendlies · Friendly International
Finland U183–2Wales U18
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 3 October 2026
Match Finished
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or drawWon
Based on 5 previous home-team games and 9 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Friendlies
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 3–2
- 90-minute score
- 3–2
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Finland U18 vs Wales U18: match review and analysis
Finland U18 vs Wales U18 in Friendlies on 3 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 3–2. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or draw.
Finland U18 recorded 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses in the 5 games used here, scoring 10 and conceding 5. Wales U18 recorded 2 wins, 1 draws and 6 losses, with 6 scored and 11 conceded across 9 games.
| Statistic | Finland U18 | Wales U18 |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 5 | 9 |
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 3 | 1 |
| Losses | 0 | 6 |
| Goals scored | 10 | 6 |
| Goals conceded | 5 | 11 |
| Over 1.5 games | 4 | 3 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Finland U18: (2.16 weighted goals scored + 1.24 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.70 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Wales U18: (0.59 weighted goals scored + 0.89 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.74 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the home side avoiding defeat. A home win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 5 GAMES
Finland U18 recent form
2.00 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. 4 of 5 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Turkey U18Friendlies | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| Ukraine U18Friendlies | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Croatia U18Friendlies | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Switzerland U18Friendlies | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| Latvia U18Friendlies | Away | 2–2 | Draw |
Scores shown from Finland U18’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded. Only 5 usable previous results were available.
LAST 9 GAMES
Wales U18 recent form
0.67 goals scored and 1.22 conceded per game. 3 of 9 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Croatia U18Friendlies | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Ukraine U18Friendlies | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Norway U19Friendlies | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Australia U17Friendlies | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Japan U17Friendlies | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Belgium U18Friendlies | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Belgium U18Friendlies | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Norway U19Friendlies | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Norway U19Friendlies | Home | 0–1 | Lost |
Scores shown from Wales U18’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded. Only 9 usable previous results were available.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Friendlies — current table
No league table is currently available for this competition and season. Some cup rounds and friendlies do not have standings.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.