Campionato Primavera - 1 · Regular Season - 6
Fiorentina U20vsParma U20
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 11 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Campionato Primavera - 1
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Fiorentina U20 vs Parma U20: match review and analysis
Fiorentina U20 vs Parma U20 in Campionato Primavera - 1 on 11 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Fiorentina U20 recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 16 and conceding 19. Parma U20 recorded 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 losses, with 23 scored and 13 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Fiorentina U20 | Parma U20 |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 3 | 6 |
| Draws | 3 | 3 |
| Losses | 4 | 1 |
| Goals scored | 16 | 23 |
| Goals conceded | 19 | 13 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Fiorentina U20: (1.39 weighted goals scored + 1.23 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.31 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Parma U20: (2.07 weighted goals scored + 1.68 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.87 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Fiorentina U20 recent form
1.60 goals scored and 1.90 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lecce U20Campionato Primavera - 1 | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Empoli U20Campionato Primavera - 1 | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Genoa U20Campionato Primavera - 1 | Away | 3–3 | Draw | |
| Hellas Verona U20Campionato Primavera - 1 | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Sassuolo U20Campionato Primavera - 1 | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| FiorentinaFriendlies Clubs | Away | 1–8 | Lost | |
| Parma U20Campionato Primavera - 1 | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Bologna U20Campionato Primavera - 1 | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Lecce U20Campionato Primavera - 1 | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Cremonese U20Campionato Primavera - 1 | Home | 6–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Fiorentina U20’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Parma U20 recent form
2.30 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cagliari U20Campionato Primavera - 1 | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Genoa U20Campionato Primavera - 1 | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Lazio U20Campionato Primavera - 1 | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Sassuolo U20Campionato Primavera - 1 | Home | 4–0 | Won | |
| Juventus U20Campionato Primavera - 1 | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Fiorentina U20Campionato Primavera - 1 | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Cesena U20Campionato Primavera - 1 | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Monza U20Campionato Primavera - 1 | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Milan U20Campionato Primavera - 1 | Home | 4–2 | Won | |
| Lazio U20Campionato Primavera - 1 | Away | 5–3 | Won |
Scores shown from Parma U20’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Campionato Primavera - 1 — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Parma U20 are ranked 2 in Regular Season, with 11 points from 5 games.
Fiorentina U20 are ranked 18 in Regular Season, with 3 points from 5 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Internazionale U20 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 13 |
| 2 | Parma U20 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 11 |
| 3 | Roma U20 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 11 |
| 4 | Empoli U20 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 11 |
| 5 | Lazio U20 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 10 |
| 6 | Bologna U20 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 9 |
| 7 | Genoa U20 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 7 |
| 8 | Hellas Verona U20 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 7 |
| 9 | Milan U20 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 7 |
| 10 | Cagliari U20 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 7 |
| 11 | Cesena U20 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 6 |
| 12 | Como U20 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 5 |
| 13 | Torino U20 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 5 |
| 14 | Lecce U20 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 4 |
| 15 | Monza U20 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 4 |
| 16 | Sassuolo U20 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 4 |
| 17 | Albinoleffe U20 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 4 |
| 18 | Fiorentina U20 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 3 |
| 19 | Juventus U20 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 3 |
| 20 | Atalanta U20 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 3 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.