First League · Regular Season - 13
FK NeftekhimikvsChelyabinsk
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 9 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Away or drawBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- First League
- Venue
- Neftekhimik Stadium
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
FK Neftekhimik vs Chelyabinsk: match review and analysis
FK Neftekhimik vs Chelyabinsk in First League on 9 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Away or draw.
FK Neftekhimik recorded 3 wins, 1 draws and 6 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 7 and conceding 13. Chelyabinsk recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses, with 11 scored and 15 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | FK Neftekhimik | Chelyabinsk |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 3 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 3 |
| Losses | 6 | 4 |
| Goals scored | 7 | 11 |
| Goals conceded | 13 | 15 |
| Over 1.5 games | 5 | 9 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
FK Neftekhimik: (0.58 weighted goals scored + 1.31 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.95 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Chelyabinsk: (1.17 weighted goals scored + 1.17 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.17 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the away side avoiding defeat. An away win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
FK Neftekhimik recent form
0.70 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. 5 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UralFirst League | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Spartak KostromaFirst League | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Chertanovo MoscowCup | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| EniseyFirst League | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| FC UFAFirst League | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Rotor VolgogradFirst League | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| FC SochiFirst League | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Shinnik YaroslavlFirst League | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Nizhny NovgorodFirst League | Away | 1–5 | Lost | |
| TekstilshchikFirst League | Home | 1–0 | Won |
Scores shown from FK Neftekhimik’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Chelyabinsk recent form
1.10 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EniseyFirst League | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| FC UFAFirst League | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| KAMAZFirst League | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Dinamo BarnaulCup | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Spartak KostromaFirst League | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| FC SochiFirst League | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| LeningradetsFirst League | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Torpedo MoskvaFirst League | Home | 0–4 | Lost | |
| Rotor VolgogradFirst League | Away | 1–4 | Lost | |
| Volga UlyanovskFirst League | Away | 2–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Chelyabinsk’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
First League — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Chelyabinsk are ranked 14 in Regular Season, with 12 points from 12 games.
FK Neftekhimik are ranked 15 in Regular Season, with 12 points from 12 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nizhny Novgorod | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 36 | 14 | 22 | 31 |
| 2 | Ural | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 20 | 6 | 14 | 25 |
| 3 | Spartak Kostroma | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 24 |
| 4 | FC Sochi | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 23 |
| 5 | Veles | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 23 |
| 6 | Torpedo Moskva | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 21 | 9 | 12 | 21 |
| 7 | FC UFA | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 18 |
| 8 | Rotor Volgograd | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 17 |
| 9 | Shinnik Yaroslavl | 12 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 16 |
| 10 | Volga Ulyanovsk | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 14 |
| 11 | Enisey | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 14 |
| 12 | Arsenal Tula | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 13 |
| 13 | Leningradets | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 13 |
| 14 | Chelyabinsk | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 12 |
| 15 | FK Neftekhimik | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 12 |
| 16 | KAMAZ | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 9 |
| 17 | Tekstilshchik | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 19 | -11 | 7 |
| 18 | Ska-khabarovsk | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 23 | -12 | 6 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.