A Lyga · Regular Season - 22
FK Zalgiris VilniusvsSuduva Marijampole
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 10 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- A Lyga
- Venue
- LFF stadionas
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
FK Zalgiris Vilnius vs Suduva Marijampole: match review and analysis
FK Zalgiris Vilnius vs Suduva Marijampole in A Lyga on 10 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
FK Zalgiris Vilnius recorded 3 wins, 1 draws and 6 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 10 and conceding 21. Suduva Marijampole recorded 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 18 scored and 14 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | FK Zalgiris Vilnius | Suduva Marijampole |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 3 | 6 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 6 | 2 |
| Goals scored | 10 | 18 |
| Goals conceded | 21 | 14 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 9 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
FK Zalgiris Vilnius: (1.04 weighted goals scored + 1.86 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.45 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Suduva Marijampole: (1.41 weighted goals scored + 1.91 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.66 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
FK Zalgiris Vilnius recent form
1.00 goals scored and 2.10 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PanevėžysFriendlies Clubs | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| TransINVEST VilniusA Lyga | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Kauno ŽalgirisA Lyga | Home | 3–2 | Won | |
| Suduva MarijampoleA Lyga | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| ŠiauliaiA Lyga | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| PanevėžysA Lyga | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Džiugas TelšiaiA Lyga | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| BangaA Lyga | Home | 2–3 | Lost | |
| HNK Hajduk SplitUEFA Europa Conference League | Away | 0–4 | Lost | |
| HNK Hajduk SplitUEFA Europa Conference League | Home | 2–5 | Lost |
Scores shown from FK Zalgiris Vilnius’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Suduva Marijampole recent form
1.80 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| JagielloniaFriendlies Clubs | Away | 0–5 | Lost | |
| Hegelmann LitauenA Lyga | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| FK Zalgiris VilniusA Lyga | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Kauno ŽalgirisA Lyga | Away | 1–5 | Lost | |
| TransINVEST VilniusA Lyga | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| ŠiauliaiA Lyga | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| PanevėžysA Lyga | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Džiugas TelšiaiA Lyga | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| BangaA Lyga | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
| Hegelmann LitauenA Lyga | Home | 5–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Suduva Marijampole’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
A Lyga — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Suduva Marijampole are ranked 2 in A Lyga, with 50 points from 28 games.
FK Zalgiris Vilnius are ranked 4 in A Lyga, with 44 points from 28 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kauno Žalgiris | 28 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 56 | 20 | 36 | 51 |
| 2 | Suduva Marijampole | 28 | 13 | 11 | 4 | 39 | 25 | 14 | 50 |
| 3 | TransINVEST Vilnius | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 45 |
| 4 | FK Zalgiris Vilnius | 28 | 13 | 5 | 10 | 41 | 34 | 7 | 44 |
| 5 | Banga | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 41 |
| 6 | Džiugas Telšiai | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 36 | 40 | -4 | 38 |
| 7 | Panevėžys | 28 | 9 | 5 | 14 | 29 | 43 | -14 | 32 |
| 8 | Hegelmann Litauen | 29 | 4 | 14 | 11 | 31 | 48 | -17 | 26 |
| 9 | Šiauliai | 29 | 3 | 8 | 18 | 24 | 58 | -34 | 17 |
| 10 | FK Trakai | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.