Ligue A · Regular Season - 6
Flambeau du CentrevsMuzinga
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 10 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Ligue A
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Flambeau du Centre vs Muzinga: match review and analysis
Flambeau du Centre vs Muzinga in Ligue A on 10 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Flambeau du Centre recorded 3 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 16 and conceding 11. Muzinga recorded 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses, with 15 scored and 13 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Flambeau du Centre | Muzinga |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 3 | 5 |
| Draws | 5 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 3 |
| Goals scored | 16 | 15 |
| Goals conceded | 11 | 13 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 7 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Flambeau du Centre: (1.63 weighted goals scored + 1.15 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.39 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Muzinga: (1.72 weighted goals scored + 1.02 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.37 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Flambeau du Centre recent form
1.60 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BumamuruLigue A | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Royal VisionLigue A | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Aigle NoirLigue A | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Kayanza UnitedLigue A | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| RukinzoLigue A | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Green Farmers FCLigue A | Home | 5–1 | Won | |
| Kayanza UnitedLigue A | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Garage ExpressLigue A | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| DynamikLigue A | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| MuzingaLigue A | Home | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from Flambeau du Centre’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Muzinga recent form
1.50 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olympic StarLigue A | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| MusongatiLigue A | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
| Panthere NoirLigue A | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Le Messager NgoziLigue A | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Never Give Up AcademyLigue A | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Green Farmers FCLigue A | Away | 4–2 | Won | |
| Kayanza UnitedLigue A | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Garage ExpressLigue A | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| DynamikLigue A | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Aigle NoirLigue A | Away | 1–4 | Lost |
Scores shown from Muzinga’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Ligue A — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Muzinga are ranked 2 in Ligue A, with 10 points from 5 games.
Flambeau du Centre are ranked 9 in Ligue A, with 5 points from 4 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Royal Vision | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 3 | 11 | 13 |
| 2 | Muzinga | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 10 |
| 3 | Aigle Noir | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 10 |
| 4 | Le Messager Ngozi | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 10 |
| 5 | Ngozi City | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 9 |
| 6 | Rukinzo | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 8 | 8 |
| 7 | Vital'O | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 8 |
| 8 | Olympic Star | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 6 |
| 9 | Flambeau du Centre | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 5 |
| 10 | Kayanza United | 5 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 11 | Bumamuru | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 4 |
| 12 | Never Give Up Academy | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 4 |
| 13 | Musongati | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 4 |
| 14 | Inter Star | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 2 |
| 15 | Panthere Noir | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 1 |
| 16 | Young Star | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 16 | -14 | 1 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.