Canadian Premier League · Group Stage
FULL-TIME
Forge5–0York United
RealScored · Match result
Match prediction · 12 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Canadian Premier League
- Venue
- Tim Hortons Field
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 5–0
- 90-minute score
- 5–0
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups are not available yet. Confirmed selections will appear here when available.
RealScored match analysis
Forge vs York United: match review and analysis
Forge vs York United in Canadian Premier League on 12 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 5–0. Review the team form and league context below.
RealScored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Forge recorded 4 wins, 5 draws and 1 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 16 and conceding 8. York United recorded 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses, with 20 scored and 22 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Forge | York United |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 4 | 2 |
| Draws | 5 | 4 |
| Losses | 1 | 4 |
| Goals scored | 16 | 20 |
| Goals conceded | 8 | 22 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 10 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Forge: (1.89 weighted goals scored + 2.34 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 2.12 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
York United: (2.02 weighted goals scored + 0.85 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.44 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Forge recent form
1.60 goals scored and 0.80 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pacific FCCanadian Premier League | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| HFX Wanderers FCCanadian Premier League | Home | 3–3 | Draw | |
| Vancouver FCCanadian Premier League | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Cavalry FCCanadian Premier League | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Supra du QuebecCanadian Championship | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Atlético OttawaCanadian Premier League | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| York UnitedCanadian Premier League | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Supra du QuebecCanadian Championship | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Supra du QuebecCanadian Premier League | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Pacific FCCanadian Premier League | Home | 2–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Forge’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
York United recent form
2.00 goals scored and 2.20 conceded per game. 10 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Supra du QuebecCanadian Premier League | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Cavalry FCCanadian Premier League | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| Pacific FCCanadian Premier League | Home | 3–4 | Lost | |
| Vancouver FCCanadian Premier League | Away | 3–3 | Draw | |
| HFX Wanderers FCCanadian Premier League | Away | 1–4 | Lost | |
| Vancouver FCCanadian Premier League | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| Pacific FCCanadian Premier League | Home | 3–3 | Draw | |
| ForgeCanadian Premier League | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Atlético OttawaCanadian Premier League | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Supra du QuebecCanadian Premier League | Home | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from York United’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Canadian Premier League — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Forge are ranked 1 in Canadian Premier League, with 54 points from 26 games.
York United are ranked 7 in Canadian Premier League, with 27 points from 26 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Forge | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 46 | 20 | 26 | 54 |
| 2 | Cavalry FC | 25 | 16 | 5 | 4 | 51 | 19 | 32 | 53 |
| 3 | Atlético Ottawa | 26 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 40 | 41 | -1 | 43 |
| 4 | Vancouver FC | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 37 | 35 | 2 | 34 |
| 5 | Supra du Quebec | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 40 | 47 | -7 | 32 |
| 6 | HFX Wanderers FC | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 38 | 42 | -4 | 27 |
| 7 | York United | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 40 | 61 | -21 | 27 |
| 8 | Pacific FC | 26 | 2 | 8 | 16 | 30 | 57 | -27 | 14 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.