USL League One · Group Stage
Fort Wayne0–0Forward Madison
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 3 October 2026
Match Finished
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsLost
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- USL League One
- Venue
- Ruoff Mortgage Stadium
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 0–0
- 90-minute score
- 0–0
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Fort Wayne vs Forward Madison: match review and analysis
Fort Wayne vs Forward Madison in USL League One on 3 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 0–0. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Fort Wayne recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 17 and conceding 19. Forward Madison recorded 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses, with 13 scored and 8 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Fort Wayne | Forward Madison |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 3 | 4 |
| Draws | 2 | 4 |
| Losses | 5 | 2 |
| Goals scored | 17 | 13 |
| Goals conceded | 19 | 8 |
| Over 1.5 games | 10 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Fort Wayne: (1.77 weighted goals scored + 0.76 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.26 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Forward Madison: (1.26 weighted goals scored + 1.95 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.61 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Fort Wayne recent form
1.70 goals scored and 1.90 conceded per game. 10 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlotte IndependenceUSL League One | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| NaplesUSL League One | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| One KnoxvilleUSL League One | Home | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Greenville TriumphUSL League One | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| NY CosmosUSL League One | Home | 2–4 | Lost | |
| Richmond KickersUSL League One | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Portland Hearts of PineUSL League One | Away | 4–1 | Won | |
| Chattanooga Red WolvesUSL League One | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| AltaUSL League One | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Union OmahaUSL League One | Home | 0–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Fort Wayne’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Forward Madison recent form
1.30 goals scored and 0.80 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spokane VelocityUSL League One | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| AltaUSL League One | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| Chattanooga Red WolvesUSL League One | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Sarasota ParadiseUSL League One | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Corpus ChristiUSL League One | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| One KnoxvilleUSL League One | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Richmond KickersUSL League One | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Charlotte IndependenceUSL League One | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Portland Hearts of PineUSL League One | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Greenville TriumphUSL League One | Home | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from Forward Madison’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
USL League One — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Forward Madison are ranked 3 in USL League One, with 52 points from 29 games.
Fort Wayne are ranked 8 in USL League One, with 42 points from 29 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Union Omaha | 29 | 19 | 4 | 6 | 53 | 31 | 22 | 61 |
| 2 | Charlotte Independence | 29 | 18 | 6 | 5 | 67 | 42 | 25 | 60 |
| 3 | Forward Madison | 29 | 15 | 7 | 7 | 50 | 27 | 23 | 52 |
| 4 | One Knoxville | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 49 | 34 | 15 | 51 |
| 5 | Boise | 29 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 45 | 39 | 6 | 49 |
| 6 | Spokane Velocity | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 41 | 36 | 5 | 47 |
| 7 | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 30 | 14 | 4 | 12 | 50 | 43 | 7 | 46 |
| 8 | Fort Wayne | 29 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 42 |
| 9 | Naples | 29 | 11 | 4 | 14 | 34 | 44 | -10 | 37 |
| 10 | Corpus Christi | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 36 |
| 11 | Westchester SC | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 48 | 46 | 2 | 33 |
| 12 | Sarasota Paradise | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 39 | 43 | -4 | 33 |
| 13 | Alta | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 35 | 42 | -7 | 32 |
| 14 | Portland Hearts of Pine | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 43 | 53 | -10 | 31 |
| 15 | NY Cosmos | 28 | 7 | 4 | 17 | 36 | 56 | -20 | 25 |
| 16 | Greenville Triumph | 28 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 30 | 52 | -22 | 23 |
| 17 | Richmond Kickers | 29 | 6 | 5 | 18 | 30 | 60 | -30 | 23 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.