3. Liga · Regular Season - 8
Fortuna KölnvsFC Saarbrücken
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 10 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- 3. Liga
- Venue
- Südstadion
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Fortuna Köln vs FC Saarbrücken: match review and analysis
Fortuna Köln vs FC Saarbrücken in 3. Liga on 10 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Fortuna Köln recorded 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 13 and conceding 8. FC Saarbrücken recorded 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses, with 23 scored and 15 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Fortuna Köln | FC Saarbrücken |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 5 | 5 |
| Draws | 3 | 3 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
| Goals scored | 13 | 23 |
| Goals conceded | 8 | 15 |
| Over 1.5 games | 6 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Fortuna Köln: (1.24 weighted goals scored + 1.51 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.37 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
FC Saarbrücken: (2.41 weighted goals scored + 0.92 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.66 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Fortuna Köln recent form
1.30 goals scored and 0.80 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Havelse3. Liga | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| SV Wehen3. Liga | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Hoffenheim II3. Liga | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Fortuna Düsseldorf3. Liga | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Verl3. Liga | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Alemannia Aachen3. Liga | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach3. Liga | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Kickers OffenbachFriendlies Clubs | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| VVV VenloFriendlies Clubs | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Borussia M'gladbach IIFriendlies Clubs | Home | 1–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Fortuna Köln’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
FC Saarbrücken recent form
2.30 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NancyFriendlies Clubs | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach3. Liga | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Preußen Münster3. Liga | Away | 3–3 | Draw | |
| FC Ingolstadt 043. Liga | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| SV Meppen3. Liga | Away | 6–1 | Won | |
| Hansa Rostock3. Liga | Home | 2–4 | Lost | |
| Hertha BSCDFB Pokal | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| SSV Jahn Regensburg3. Liga | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Rot-Weiß Essen3. Liga | Home | 5–2 | Won | |
| VfR AalenFriendlies Clubs | Away | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from FC Saarbrücken’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
3. Liga — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
FC Saarbrücken are ranked 4 in 3 Liga, with 13 points from 7 games.
Fortuna Köln are ranked 12 in 3 Liga, with 9 points from 7 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MSV Duisburg | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 18 |
| 2 | FC Viktoria Köln | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 15 |
| 3 | Rot-Weiß Essen | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 15 |
| 4 | FC Saarbrücken | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 13 |
| 5 | Hoffenheim II | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 13 |
| 6 | Hansa Rostock | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 12 |
| 7 | Preußen Münster | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 12 |
| 8 | Alemannia Aachen | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 11 |
| 9 | Waldhof Mannheim | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 10 |
| 10 | Fortuna Düsseldorf | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 10 |
| 11 | Verl | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 10 |
| 12 | Fortuna Köln | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 9 |
| 13 | SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 8 |
| 14 | FC Ingolstadt 04 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 8 |
| 15 | Stuttgart II | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 7 |
| 16 | Würzburger Kickers | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 7 |
| 17 | SV Meppen | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 15 | -7 | 6 |
| 18 | SSV Jahn Regensburg | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 5 |
| 19 | SV Wehen | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 5 |
| 20 | Havelse | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 4 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.