Serie D - Girone F · Group F - 7
FossombronevsTermoli Calcio
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 11 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or awayBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Serie D - Girone F
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Fossombrone vs Termoli Calcio: match review and analysis
Fossombrone vs Termoli Calcio in Serie D - Girone F on 11 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or away.
Fossombrone recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 10 and conceding 16. Termoli Calcio recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses, with 8 scored and 14 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Fossombrone | Termoli Calcio |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 4 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 4 | 6 |
| Goals scored | 10 | 8 |
| Goals conceded | 16 | 14 |
| Over 1.5 games | 7 | 6 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Fossombrone: (1.02 weighted goals scored + 1.71 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.37 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Termoli Calcio: (0.85 weighted goals scored + 1.67 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.26 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours a decisive result. Either side winning satisfies this selection; a draw does not. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Fossombrone recent form
1.00 goals scored and 1.60 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AnconaCoppa Italia Serie D | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Atletico AscoliSerie D - Girone F | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Vigor SenigalliaSerie D - Girone F | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Lanciano FCSerie D - Girone F | Home | 2–4 | Lost | |
| Sporting TrestinaSerie D - Girone F | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| L'AquilaSerie D - Girone F | Home | 0–4 | Lost | |
| Real GiulianovaSerie D - Girone F | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| CesenaFriendlies Clubs | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| RecanateseSerie D - Girone F | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Castelfidardo CalcioSerie D - Girone F | Home | 3–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Fossombrone’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Termoli Calcio recent form
0.80 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| L'AquilaCoppa Italia Serie D | Away | 2–5 | Lost | |
| Lanciano FCSerie D - Girone F | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Sporting TrestinaSerie D - Girone F | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Vigor SenigalliaSerie D - Girone F | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Real GiulianovaSerie D - Girone F | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| AngelanaSerie D - Girone F | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| L'AquilaSerie D - Girone F | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| L'AquilaSerie D - Girone F | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Ostia MareSerie D - Girone F | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| NotarescoSerie D - Girone F | Home | 1–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Termoli Calcio’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Serie D - Girone F — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Fossombrone are ranked 6 in Serie D: Group F, with 10 points from 6 games.
Termoli Calcio are ranked 12 in Serie D: Group F, with 7 points from 6 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | L'Aquila | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 2 | 10 | 14 |
| 2 | Teramo | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 13 |
| 3 | Vigor Senigallia | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 13 |
| 4 | Foligno Calcio | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 13 |
| 5 | Ancona | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 11 |
| 6 | Fossombrone | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 10 |
| 7 | Notaresco | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 8 |
| 8 | Montecchio Gallo | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 8 |
| 9 | Santegidiese | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 8 |
| 10 | Real Giulianova | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 7 |
| 11 | Lanciano FC | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 7 |
| 12 | Termoli Calcio | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 7 |
| 13 | Maceratese | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 7 |
| 14 | Atletico Ascoli | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 7 |
| 15 | Recanatese | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 6 |
| 16 | Angelana | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 4 |
| 17 | Sporting Trestina | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 4 |
| 18 | Pietralunga | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9 | -7 | 2 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.