Real Scored
← All matches and predictions

UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification · Group Stage - 2

France U213–2Luxembourg U21

Real Scored · Match result

Match prediction · 3 October 2026

Times in UTC

Match Finished

This match has finished. Go back home for the latest fixtures →

THE PREDICTION

Our match outlook

Home or draw

Won

Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.

Prediction saved

Match information

Competition
UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification
Venue
Stade du Moustoir
Status
Match Finished
Score
3–2
90-minute score
3–2
Last updated

Goals and cards

Goals

Match events are not yet available.

Cards

Match events are not yet available.

Lineups

Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.

Real Scored match analysis

France U21 vs Luxembourg U21: match review and analysis

France U21 vs Luxembourg U21 in UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification on 3 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 3–2. Review the team form and league context below.

Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or draw.

France U21 recorded 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 21 and conceding 9. Luxembourg U21 recorded 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses, with 8 scored and 19 conceded across 10 games.

Recent form comparison before kickoff
StatisticFrance U21Luxembourg U21
Games1010
Wins62
Draws33
Losses15
Goals scored218
Goals conceded919
Over 1.5 games86

Why this selection?

The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.

France U21: (1.82 weighted goals scored + 1.94 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.88 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.

Luxembourg U21: (0.76 weighted goals scored + 0.97 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.87 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.

Model goals comparison · shared scale from 0 to 6
France U21 1.88
Luxembourg U21 0.87

The model favours the home side avoiding defeat. A home win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.

Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.

Recent results and goal trends

LAST 10 GAMES

France U21 recent form

6Wins
3Draws
1Losses
21Goals scored
9Goals conceded
3Clean sheets

2.10 goals scored and 0.90 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.

France U21 goals trendGreen circles: goals scored. Orange squares: goals conceded. Oldest game on the left; latest on the right. Read the table below for each score. 60OldestLatest
● Scored ■ Conceded · Regular-time goals
Recent results before this match · newest first
DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
Estonia U21UEFA U21 Championship - QualificationAway2–0Won
Japan U18FriendliesHome1–3Lost
Ukraine U18FriendliesHome1–0Won
Iceland U21UEFA U21 Championship - QualificationAway1–1Draw
Austria U18FriendliesHome1–1Draw
Iceland U21UEFA U21 Championship - QualificationHome2–1Won
Luxembourg U21UEFA U21 Championship - QualificationAway5–1Won
Faroe Islands U21UEFA U21 Championship - QualificationHome1–0Won
Switzerland U21UEFA U21 Championship - QualificationAway1–1Draw
Estonia U21UEFA U21 Championship - QualificationHome6–1Won

Scores shown from France U21’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.

LAST 10 GAMES

Luxembourg U21 recent form

2Wins
3Draws
5Losses
8Goals scored
19Goals conceded
3Clean sheets

0.80 goals scored and 1.90 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.

Luxembourg U21 goals trendGreen circles: goals scored. Orange squares: goals conceded. Oldest game on the left; latest on the right. Read the table below for each score. 50OldestLatest
● Scored ■ Conceded · Regular-time goals
Recent results before this match · newest first
DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
Faroe Islands U21UEFA U21 Championship - QualificationAway1–0Won
Switzerland U21UEFA U21 Championship - QualificationAway0–5Lost
Kosovo U21FriendliesAway0–0Draw
France U21UEFA U21 Championship - QualificationHome1–5Lost
Switzerland U21UEFA U21 Championship - QualificationHome2–1Won
Iceland U21UEFA U21 Championship - QualificationHome1–3Lost
Iceland U21UEFA U21 Championship - QualificationAway1–2Lost
Estonia U21UEFA U21 Championship - QualificationAway2–2Draw
Faroe Islands U21UEFA U21 Championship - QualificationHome0–1Lost
Northern Ireland U21UEFA U21 Championship - QualificationHome0–0Draw

Scores shown from Luxembourg U21’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.

LEAGUE CONTEXT

UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification — current table

Season 2027 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.

Group A
PosTeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
1Spain U2198014043624
2Finland U2197113032722
3Romania U219513116516
4Kosovo U2194231771014
5Cyprus U219108629-233
6San Marino U219009055-550
Group B
PosTeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
1Portugal U2197113323122
2Czechia U2195311741318
3Scotland U21942323121114
4Bulgaria U21942398114
5Azerbaijan U21102441124-1310
6Gibraltar U21100010144-430

France U21 are ranked 1 in Group C, with 23 points from 9 games.

Luxembourg U21 are ranked 5 in Group C, with 7 points from 9 games.

Group C
PosTeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
1France U2197202772023
2Switzerland U2195221610617
3Iceland U2194322011915
4Faroe Islands U219405815-712
5Luxembourg U2192161022-127
6Estonia U219027925-162
Group D
PosTeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
1England U2197202241823
2Republic of Ireland U2195221313017
3Slovakia U2195221512317
4Moldova U21102351219-79
5Andorra U219225610-48
6Kazakhstan U21101181121-104
Group E
PosTeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
1Italy U21109013272527
2Poland U21109012882027
3Sweden U21104151222-1013
4Montenegro U21103341316-312
5North Macedonia U2110217820-127
6Armenia U2110019525-201
Group F
PosTeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
1Germany U21109013252727
2Greece U21109012962327
3Northern Ireland U21104241313014
4Georgia U21102441315-210
5Latvia U2110226820-128
6Malta U21100010238-360
Group G
PosTeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
1Norway U2175111851316
2Israel U21724199010
3Netherlands U217232111019
4Bosnia-Herzegovina U21714237-47
5Slovenia U218125717-105
Group H
PosTeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
1Croatia U2175111431116
2Turkey U21733198112
3Ukraine U218332139412
4Hungary U217133913-46
5Lithuania U217025416-122
Group I
PosTeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
1Belgium U2175111321116
2Denmark U217421156914
3Austria U21732288011
4Wales U217205621-156
5Belarus U218116712-54
Ranking of second-placed teams
PosTeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
1Poland U2187012071321
2Greece U2187011961321
3Finland U2175111531216
4Denmark U217421156914
5Czechia U217331103712
6Turkey U21733198112
7Switzerland U217322129311
8Republic of Ireland U217322810-211
9Israel U21724199010

P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.

About this prediction

We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.