Oberliga - Hessen · Hessen - 13
FriedbergvsBayern Alzenau
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 10 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Oberliga - Hessen
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Friedberg vs Bayern Alzenau: match review and analysis
Friedberg vs Bayern Alzenau in Oberliga - Hessen on 10 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Friedberg recorded 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 20 and conceding 17. Bayern Alzenau recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses, with 12 scored and 15 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Friedberg | Bayern Alzenau |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 4 | 3 |
| Draws | 3 | 3 |
| Losses | 3 | 4 |
| Goals scored | 20 | 12 |
| Goals conceded | 17 | 15 |
| Over 1.5 games | 10 | 9 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Friedberg: (2.23 weighted goals scored + 1.56 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.90 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Bayern Alzenau: (1.33 weighted goals scored + 1.55 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.44 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Friedberg recent form
2.00 goals scored and 1.70 conceded per game. 10 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eintracht StadtallendorfOberliga - Hessen | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| TuBa PohlheimOberliga - Hessen | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| FC GießenOberliga - Hessen | Home | 5–0 | Won | |
| Unter-FlockenbachOberliga - Hessen | Away | 2–4 | Lost | |
| EddersheimOberliga - Hessen | Home | 3–3 | Draw | |
| Darmstadt 98 IIOberliga - Hessen | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| BaunatalOberliga - Hessen | Away | 3–2 | Won | |
| HadamarOberliga - Hessen | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| KasselOberliga - Hessen | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| EddersheimOberliga - Hessen | Away | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from Friedberg’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Bayern Alzenau recent form
1.20 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unter-FlockenbachOberliga - Hessen | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| Darmstadt 98 IIOberliga - Hessen | Away | 3–2 | Won | |
| BaunatalOberliga - Hessen | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| HadamarOberliga - Hessen | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| 1960 HanauOberliga - Hessen | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| KasselOberliga - Hessen | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Rot-Weiß WalldorfOberliga - Hessen | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| HummetrothOberliga - Hessen | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| EddersheimOberliga - Hessen | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| 1960 HanauOberliga - Hessen | Away | 2–2 | Draw |
Scores shown from Bayern Alzenau’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Oberliga - Hessen — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Friedberg are ranked 4 in Hessen, with 21 points from 12 games.
Bayern Alzenau are ranked 13 in Hessen, with 13 points from 12 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Eintracht Stadtallendorf | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 35 | 11 | 24 | 26 |
| 2 | Unter-Flockenbach | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 34 | 23 | 11 | 25 |
| 3 | Eddersheim | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 25 |
| 4 | Friedberg | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 21 |
| 5 | Vfb Marburg | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 20 |
| 6 | Hadamar | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 20 |
| 7 | TuBa Pohlheim | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 20 |
| 8 | Hünfelder SV | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 19 |
| 9 | Darmstadt 98 II | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 27 | 17 | 10 | 18 |
| 10 | Fernwald | 12 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 16 |
| 11 | Rot-Weiß Walldorf | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 14 |
| 12 | Kassel | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 14 |
| 13 | Bayern Alzenau | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 13 |
| 14 | Baunatal | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 12 |
| 15 | Kassel 2 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 11 |
| 16 | 1960 Hanau | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 29 | -10 | 10 |
| 17 | Hummetroth | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 9 |
| 18 | FC Gießen | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 31 | -16 | 6 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.