3. liga - MSFL · MSFL - 10
Frýdek-Místek4–2Vrchovina
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 3 October 2026
Match Finished
This match has finished. Go back home for the latest fixtures →
THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or drawWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- 3. liga - MSFL
- Venue
- Stadion Stovky
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 4–2
- 90-minute score
- 4–2
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Frýdek-Místek vs Vrchovina: match review and analysis
Frýdek-Místek vs Vrchovina in 3. liga - MSFL on 3 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 4–2. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or draw.
Frýdek-Místek recorded 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 15 and conceding 8. Vrchovina recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses, with 11 scored and 16 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Frýdek-Místek | Vrchovina |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 5 | 4 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 4 |
| Goals scored | 15 | 11 |
| Goals conceded | 8 | 16 |
| Over 1.5 games | 6 | 6 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Frýdek-Místek: (1.28 weighted goals scored + 1.71 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.49 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Vrchovina: (1.15 weighted goals scored + 0.67 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.91 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the home side avoiding defeat. A home win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Frýdek-Místek recent form
1.50 goals scored and 0.80 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polanka nad Odrou3. liga - MSFL | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Havířov3. liga - MSFL | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Uherský Brod3. liga - MSFL | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| Uničov3. liga - MSFL | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Karviná II3. liga - MSFL | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
| Sigma Olomouc II3. liga - MSFL | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Unie Hlubina3. liga - MSFL | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Vsetín3. liga - MSFL | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Zbrojovka Brno II3. liga - MSFL | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Hranice3. liga - MSFL | Home | 1–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Frýdek-Místek’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Vrchovina recent form
1.10 goals scored and 1.60 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unie Hlubina3. liga - MSFL | Home | 3–2 | Won | |
| Vsetín3. liga - MSFL | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Zbrojovka Brno II3. liga - MSFL | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Hranice3. liga - MSFL | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Slovácko II3. liga - MSFL | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Karviná II3. liga - MSFL | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Vítkovice3. liga - MSFL | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Zlín II3. liga - MSFL | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Líšeň II3. liga - MSFL | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Blansko3. liga - MSFL | Home | 2–2 | Draw |
Scores shown from Vrchovina’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
3. liga - MSFL — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Frýdek-Místek are ranked 4 in MSFL, with 21 points from 11 games.
Vrchovina are ranked 13 in MSFL, with 14 points from 11 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Líšeň II | 11 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 20 | 4 | 16 | 25 |
| 2 | Zbrojovka Brno II | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 23 |
| 3 | Uničov | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 22 | 14 | 8 | 23 |
| 4 | Frýdek-Místek | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 21 |
| 5 | Sigma Olomouc II | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 13 | 7 | 19 |
| 6 | Hranice | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 17 |
| 7 | Vítkovice | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 16 |
| 8 | Unie Hlubina | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 22 | 4 | 15 |
| 9 | Slovácko II | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 15 |
| 10 | Uherský Brod | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 15 |
| 11 | Zlín II | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 15 |
| 12 | Hodonín | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 14 |
| 13 | Vrchovina | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 14 |
| 14 | Karviná II | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 11 |
| 15 | Vsetín | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 24 | -13 | 10 |
| 16 | Blansko | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 8 |
| 17 | Polanka nad Odrou | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 17 | -10 | 6 |
| 18 | Havířov | 11 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 20 | -14 | 5 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.