Regionalliga - SudWest · Sudwest - 10
FSV Mainz 05 II0–2Freiburg II
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 3 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Regionalliga - SudWest
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 0–2
- 90-minute score
- 0–2
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
FSV Mainz 05 II vs Freiburg II: match review and analysis
FSV Mainz 05 II vs Freiburg II in Regionalliga - SudWest on 3 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 0–2. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
FSV Mainz 05 II recorded 4 wins, 0 draws and 6 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 12 and conceding 20. Freiburg II recorded 4 wins, 5 draws and 1 losses, with 20 scored and 12 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | FSV Mainz 05 II | Freiburg II |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 4 | 4 |
| Draws | 0 | 5 |
| Losses | 6 | 1 |
| Goals scored | 12 | 20 |
| Goals conceded | 20 | 12 |
| Over 1.5 games | 9 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
FSV Mainz 05 II: (1.10 weighted goals scored + 1.31 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.20 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Freiburg II: (1.90 weighted goals scored + 1.94 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.92 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
FSV Mainz 05 II recent form
1.20 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hessen KasselRegionalliga - SudWest | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Kaiserslautern IIRegionalliga - SudWest | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| SGV FreibergRegionalliga - SudWest | Away | 0–5 | Lost | |
| VfR MannheimRegionalliga - SudWest | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Stuttgarter KickersRegionalliga - SudWest | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| VfR AalenRegionalliga - SudWest | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Kickers OffenbachRegionalliga - SudWest | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| FSV FrankfurtRegionalliga - SudWest | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| FC 08 HomburgRegionalliga - SudWest | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| KreuzlingenFriendlies Clubs | Home | 2–1 | Won |
Scores shown from FSV Mainz 05 II’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Freiburg II recent form
2.00 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn.Regionalliga - SudWest | Away | 3–2 | Won | |
| SV SandhausenRegionalliga - SudWest | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Eintracht TrierRegionalliga - SudWest | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| TSV SteinbachRegionalliga - SudWest | Home | 4–3 | Won | |
| VfR MannheimRegionalliga - SudWest | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Stuttgarter KickersRegionalliga - SudWest | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Hessen KasselRegionalliga - SudWest | Home | 5–1 | Won | |
| VfR AalenRegionalliga - SudWest | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Hoffenheim IIFriendlies Clubs | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| FC SchaffhausenFriendlies Clubs | Home | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from Freiburg II’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Regionalliga - SudWest — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Freiburg II are ranked 5 in Regionalliga: Sudwest, with 16 points from 9 games.
FSV Mainz 05 II are ranked 15 in Regionalliga: Sudwest, with 9 points from 10 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SGV Freiberg | 10 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 26 | 11 | 15 | 20 |
| 2 | Stuttgarter Kickers | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 20 |
| 3 | Kickers Offenbach | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 13 | 7 | 19 |
| 4 | VfR Aalen | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 18 |
| 5 | Freiburg II | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 16 |
| 6 | Eintracht Trier | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 16 |
| 7 | FC 08 Homburg | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 15 |
| 8 | VfR Mannheim | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 14 |
| 9 | TSV Steinbach | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 13 |
| 10 | SV Sandhausen | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 13 |
| 11 | FSV Frankfurt | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 12 |
| 12 | Hessen Kassel | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 11 |
| 13 | Eintracht Frankfurt II | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 10 |
| 14 | FC Astoria Walldorf | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 9 |
| 15 | FSV Mainz 05 II | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 9 |
| 16 | Kaiserslautern II | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 18 | -11 | 9 |
| 17 | Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn. | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 6 |
| 18 | SSV Ulm 1846 | 10 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 5 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.